Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Washington vs. USC
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2bc17363e3891e8a4ac781d9c69aa0cd0671803fb3d0fa0d554d969c32449c2a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- USCof Washington, USC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,143
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,413
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,143 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked USC | 64c | 785$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.09 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b2f…b57bbacked Washington | 32c | 429$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef7…1fd4backed Washington | 32c | 216$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.12 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5608…fae1backed USC | 68c | 199$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.68 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +72.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c36…eaaebacked USC | 68c | 189$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.48 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +79.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea4c…f2fdbacked Washington | 27c | 121$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.67 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.16per pick | 40cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdaa3…6641backed USC | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8a…9040backed USC | 68c | 87$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f17…f903backed Washington | 27c | 86$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd97c…4784backed USC | 68c | 85$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bcb…0b9fbacked USC | 68c | 85$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -51%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked USC | 74c | 68.9$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.91 | 605 | 51.4%311 W · 294 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7044…604dbacked Washington | 28c | 67$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.76 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…fd06backed Washington | 28c | 51$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4baf…c015backed Washington | 31c | 48$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83b8…c783backed USC | 73c | 42$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.34 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x555e…938abacked Washington | 31c | 42$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e63…ae26backed Washington | 31c | 42$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.02 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcabb…e3cfbacked USC | 73c | 37$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.99 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +84.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb200…ad8dbacked USC | 69c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +74.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4eb2…c756backed USC | 73c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x315c…53d7backed USC | 73c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.75 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 62cpaid | +68.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf023…3b36backed USC | 72c | 24$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.72 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 73cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6a3…49abbacked USC | 72c | 21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.88 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 61cpaid | +71.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e07…d273backed USC | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5631…dc61backed USC | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43c1…105ebacked USC | 69c | 18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc8…745cbacked USC | 69c | 18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.58 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2558…e546backed USC | 69c | 18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.58 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.