Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: UAB Blazers (-3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2bdcd9a3a252636d9fdfdeda03b866cdf92ed8ac6b521249bedc71c3a7737eab
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Wichita State Shockersof UAB Blazers, Wichita State Shockers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,141
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,141
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,141 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Wichita State Shockers | 52c | 3,632$1,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,752.34 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed UAB Blazers | 48c | 2,894$1,389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,389.01 | 746 | 49.2%367 W · 379 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6909…36b5backed UAB Blazers | 49c | 408.96$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.9wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked UAB Blazers | 49c | 300$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Wichita State Shockers | 52c | 142$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.16 | 918 | 48.9%449 W · 469 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x659f…220cbacked UAB Blazers | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28a2…91a4backed Wichita State Shockers | 52c | 93$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.64 | 87 | 56.3%49 W · 38 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa2…6f8cbacked Wichita State Shockers | 54c | 82.99$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.17 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d9…0092backed UAB Blazers | 49c | 56.71$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.79 | 94 | 40.4%38 W · 56 L | -9.7wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6e57…21cbbacked UAB Blazers | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -3.4wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8cf9…1abfbacked UAB Blazers | 47c | 32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.04 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +3.4wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3a…9bdbbacked UAB Blazers | 46c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49ec…c4e5backed UAB Blazers | 47c | 28$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.16 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -5.2wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7c4f…73a6backed UAB Blazers | 48c | 27$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.96 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -4.4wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Wichita State Shockers | 52c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: UAB Blazers (-3.5)this page
- Spread: UAB Blazers (-1.5)Wichita State Shockers won
- Spread: UAB Blazers (-2.5)Wichita State Shockers won
- Wichita State Shockers vs. UAB BlazersWichita State Shockers won
- Wichita State Shockers vs. UAB Blazers: O/U 149.5Under won
- Wichita State Shockers vs. UAB Blazers: O/U 150.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.