Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: hAze clan vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - PGL Wallachia: Eastern Europe Open Qualifier 2 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2c30be01bf526ff7e93442eef92ae5d66aa92d0ff396f3e8d4d4a9021dee2f22
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rune Eatersof hAze clan, Rune Eaters
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,041
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,594
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,041 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb04b…e2d4backed hAze clan | 39c | 2,264$872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$872.37 | 161 | 42.9%69 W · 92 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed hAze clan | 32c | 1,000$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 491 | 33.6%165 W · 326 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcecf…e84fbacked Rune Eaters | 68c | 1,000$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9801…1ab6backed Rune Eaters | 60c | 751.12$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.45 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -4.9wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa824…c9fcbacked Rune Eaters | 62c | 403.23$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.23 | 180 | 53.3%96 W · 84 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1430…a753backed Rune Eaters | 60c | 310$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | -4.8wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcfbf…5d35backed Rune Eaters | 60c | 250$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Rune Eaters | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 152 | 50%76 W · 76 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebe2…e4d2backed Rune Eaters | 61c | 157$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.26 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa918…8d4bbacked Rune Eaters | 60c | 103.34$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.34 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf69…4fa2backed hAze clan | 38c | 77$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.26 | 536 | 34%182 W · 354 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40d7…615fbacked Rune Eaters | 66c | 58$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.77 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e47…a7abbacked Rune Eaters | 60c | 41.67$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…a506backed hAze clan | 34c | 39$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e83…45adbacked Rune Eaters | 60c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5554…de7ebacked Rune Eaters | 60c | 16.7$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.68 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 62cpaid | +62.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: hAze clan vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - PGL Wallachia: Eastern Europe Open Qualifier 2 Playoffsthis page
- Dota 2: hAze clan vs Rune Eaters - Game 2 WinnerRune Eaters won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.