Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Rune Eaters vs Level UP (BO3) - European Pro League Group B
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2cc2c99176b9989588252d60a65b076af50c4d857464abdbe09bf81bec804f64
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rune Eatersof Rune Eaters, Level UP
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,080
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,080 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Level UP | 24c | 1,249$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.76 | 94 | 44.7%42 W · 52 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5031…1ffbbacked Rune Eaters | 76c | 1,122$853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.28 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed Level UP | 36c | 825.69$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.03 | 466 | 49.8%232 W · 234 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Level UP | 23c | 708.49$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.13 | 229 | 45.9%105 W · 124 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Level UP | 25c | 495$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.19 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1709…c148backed Rune Eaters | 57c | 402.62$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.6 | 483 | 52.4%253 W · 230 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17cd…7423backed Rune Eaters | 77c | 337.54$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.13 | 119 | 47.1%56 W · 63 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Rune Eaters | 79c | 317.36$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.76 | 75 | 65.3%49 W · 26 L | +6.2wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d03…9a41backed Rune Eaters | 69c | 300$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 230 | 50.9%117 W · 113 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13c7…11d9backed Level UP | 21c | 288.72$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.63 | 335 | 41.2%138 W · 197 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Level UP | 24c | 206.99$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.21 | 605 | 42.6%258 W · 347 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f3d…1f52backed Rune Eaters | 76c | 183.64$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.07 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb171…7d2bbacked Rune Eaters | 77c | 141.56$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.56 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x934c…d02bbacked Rune Eaters | 79c | 121.73$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.98 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc869…bc8dbacked Level UP | 27c | 120$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.7 | 374 | 41.2%154 W · 220 L | -17.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b45…d5f4backed Rune Eaters | 78c | 111.11$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 65cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfadf…dda0backed Rune Eaters | 71c | 103.47$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.31 | 292 | 45.9%134 W · 158 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2757…55f0backed Rune Eaters | 60c | 99$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.6 | 124 | 54.8%68 W · 56 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Level UP | 24c | 97.2$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.33 | 253 | 48.6%123 W · 130 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Level UP | 16c | 72.42$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.45 | 785 | 16.6%130 W · 655 L | -135.4wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x2c9e…fbfdbacked Rune Eaters | 76c | 65.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.76 | 131 | 48.1%63 W · 68 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a8d…ab7ebacked Level UP | 38c | 63.29$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.05 | 88 | 44.3%39 W · 49 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked Level UP | 22c | 63.27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.92 | 228 | 45.6%104 W · 124 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Level UP | 27c | 44.85$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.89 | 224 | 56.3%126 W · 98 L | +11.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8530…2302backed Rune Eaters | 77c | 38$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed Rune Eaters | 69c | 36.95$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.52 | 466 | 64.2%299 W · 167 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…4145backed Rune Eaters | 77c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.05 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 71cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd425…603ebacked Rune Eaters | 77c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.05 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4921…5238backed Rune Eaters | 77c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.05 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 76cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40fc…498dbacked Rune Eaters | 76c | 26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.24 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50ab…70a2backed Rune Eaters | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x359e…9376backed Rune Eaters | 77c | 20.52$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.72 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbda…8bd5backed Rune Eaters | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 132 | 59.8%79 W · 53 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6db3…359abacked Rune Eaters | 73c | 18.12$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.89 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb64…bfdcbacked Rune Eaters | 78c | 16.1$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.57 | 236 | 53%125 W · 111 L | +12.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x155b…d7babacked Rune Eaters | 73c | 14.55$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.92 | 149 | 62.4%93 W · 56 L | +21.8wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x3123…b44dbacked Rune Eaters | 77c | 12.99$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.99 | 125 | 68%85 W · 40 L | +12.7wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Rune Eaters vs Level UP (BO3) - European Pro League Group Bthis page
- Dota 2: Rune Eaters vs Level UP - Game 1 WinnerLevel UP won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.