Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Drexel Dragons (-4.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2ce0132f9a243acb71362bf4285adeab1eac1cdee8cd21ad0721ac2479b25198
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Drexel Dragonsof Drexel Dragons, Northeastern Huskies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,799
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,799 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 14 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Northeastern Huskies | 52c | 4,311$2,242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,241.64 | 243 | 51.4%125 W · 118 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Drexel Dragons | 49c | 1,341$657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$684.38 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Northeastern Huskies | 49c | 1,227$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598.74 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3817…7d10backed Northeastern Huskies | 50c | 293.41$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.71 | 298 | 45.3%135 W · 163 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe276…a85bbacked Northeastern Huskies | 47c | 285.67$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.26 | 225 | 44.9%101 W · 124 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e92…f5f7backed Drexel Dragons | 57c | 263.95$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.24 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Drexel Dragons | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 505 | 48.9%247 W · 258 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Drexel Dragons | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0f…48fdbacked Northeastern Huskies | 49c | 87.23$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.65 | 265 | 50.6%134 W · 131 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Drexel Dragons | 49c | 76.16$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.11 | 609 | 54.5%332 W · 277 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Northeastern Huskies | 42c | 57$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.94 | 848 | 54.5%462 W · 386 L | +32.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1121…6604backed Drexel Dragons | 48c | 30.73$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.98 | 300 | 50.7%152 W · 148 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Drexel Dragons | 48c | 30.73$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.98 | 485 | 51.1%248 W · 237 L | +15.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Drexel Dragons | 48c | 30.62$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.92 | 296 | 50.7%150 W · 146 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Drexel Dragons (-4.5)this page
- Northeastern Huskies vs. Drexel DragonsDrexel Dragons won
- Northeastern Huskies vs. Drexel Dragons: O/U 139.5Over won
- Northeastern Huskies vs. Drexel Dragons: O/U 140.5Over won
- Spread: Drexel Dragons (-3.5)Drexel Dragons won
- Spread: Drexel Dragons (-5.5)Drexel Dragons won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.