Champions League · resolved market
LAFC vs Flamengo: 3+ Goals Scored?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2ce429e6f6979e3f72b31580a48b9837ee86149f44e091c22b4b67d023d8fc30
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,537
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,135
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,537 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 51c | 1,550$783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$783.47 | 402 | 22.9%92 W · 310 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | +9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No | 49c | 1,159$568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590.69 | 306 | 57.5%176 W · 130 L | +11.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5df…46dcbacked No | 53c | 1,150$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.5 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +155.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb494…3060backed Yes | 47c | 1,020$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.4 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked No | 55c | 640.41$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285 | 307 | 54.1%166 W · 141 L | +11.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 44c | 630.6$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 264 | 43.9%116 W · 148 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x524c…64c8backed No | 51c | 446.93$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.58 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -4.7wins | -0.16per pick | 37cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf744…7392backed No | 79c | 348.14$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.14 | 45 | 64.4%29 W · 16 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb429…bd15backed Yes | 47c | 135$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5a…7618backed Yes | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 62 | 25.8%16 W · 46 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x785b…c51dbacked Yes | 20c | 97.14$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.43 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x735a…3ef2backed Yes | 50c | 72.83$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.09 | 228 | 47.8%109 W · 119 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe19…22b3backed No | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +100.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb7…2799backed No | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.61per pick | 40cpaid | +176.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ff…acedbacked No | 53c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +139.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed No | 50c | 45.19$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.68 | 239 | 42.7%102 W · 137 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10a3…ae13backed Yes | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x516d…d14bbacked Yes | 50c | 40.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.18 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xafbc…a8b5backed No | 51c | 39.21$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.21 | 83 | 53%44 W · 39 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ef2…b798backed No | 52c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…099abacked Yes | 48c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 101 | 37.6%38 W · 63 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.