Lol · resolved market
LoL: Kaufland Hangry Knights vs BIG - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2d0931830de4040122858e4a313089bee7380ad04461b9f80e3e095db57bc3e9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- BIGof Kaufland Hangry Knights, BIG
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,769
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,429
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,769 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Kaufland Hangry Knights | 21c | 1,682$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.97 | 1,258 | 38.6%485 W · 773 L | -61.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b96…4389backed BIG | 78c | 500$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 660 | 59.8%395 W · 265 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8705…edbabacked Kaufland Hangry Knights | 22c | 500$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.5 | 429 | 41.5%178 W · 251 L | -24.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -20%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked BIG | 78c | 320.62$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.62 | 282 | 53.5%151 W · 131 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea58…930fbacked BIG | 77c | 213$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.99 | 1,216 | 44.4%540 W · 676 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ed…2a85backed BIG | 78c | 200$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.81 | 867 | 58.1%504 W · 363 L | +16.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…4500backed Kaufland Hangry Knights | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 127 | 27.6%35 W · 92 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d21…92e5backed Kaufland Hangry Knights | 6c | 171.35$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.28 | 698 | 41.8%292 W · 406 L | +46.3wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b04…f792backed BIG | 78c | 133.28$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.42 | 392 | 66.6%261 W · 131 L | +12.7wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked BIG | 79c | 84$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.64 | 1,671 | 57.9%968 W · 703 L | +70.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d33…1192backed Kaufland Hangry Knights | 22c | 51.55$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 122 | 41.8%51 W · 71 L | -8.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe45…bb3bbacked Kaufland Hangry Knights | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…6f08backed BIG | 76c | 40.83$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 626 | 49.8%312 W · 314 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98dc…e3f0backed BIG | 79c | 31.65$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.65 | 153 | 60.1%92 W · 61 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b2d…4a62backed BIG | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 151 | 45%68 W · 83 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked BIG | 77c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.75 | 182 | 63.7%116 W · 66 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Kaufland Hangry Knights vs BIG - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Game Handicap: BIG (-1.5) vs Kaufland Hangry Knights (+1.5)BIG won
- LoL: Kaufland Hangry Knights vs BIG (BO3) - Prime League 1st Division Group ABIG won
- LoL: Kaufland Hangry Knights vs BIG - Game 2 WinnerBIG won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.