Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
San Diego State vs. UNLV
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2d2b5ba2feeeac1b6ae638eee3b18614f7564b24ed483973854f11b7cb8e4878
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- UNLVof San Diego State, UNLV
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,395
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,385
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,395 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked San Diego State | 56c | 300.08$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.96 | 605 | 51.4%311 W · 294 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x796a…271abacked San Diego State | 58c | 183$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.14 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked San Diego State | 54c | 125.95$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.02 | 530 | 57.4%304 W · 226 L | +33.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd98a…354bbacked San Diego State | 56c | 110$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.06 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +50.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d75…1a99backed San Diego State | 56c | 90$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…d922backed UNLV | 43c | 90$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.3 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +116.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3022…89d7backed San Diego State | 57c | 74$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.18 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.35per pick | 68cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb33a…29c9backed UNLV | 44c | 65$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c75…399fbacked San Diego State | 58c | 59$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe34d…af09backed UNLV | 42c | 58$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.64 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +119%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17c7…1873backed UNLV | 43c | 51.92$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.59 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +93.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bf6…1d1abacked UNLV | 43c | 51$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.07 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1835…3bd3backed San Diego State | 58c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0735…a11abacked UNLV | 42c | 49$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.42 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x90de…1d27backed UNLV | 42c | 45$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c4c…ea74backed UNLV | 44c | 45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd91…e0d6backed UNLV | 42c | 43$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.94 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +90.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e72…d6a8backed UNLV | 46c | 41$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.14 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +69.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a5a…3b88backed San Diego State | 58c | 40$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4cf…ff28backed UNLV | 42c | 40$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +34%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba8…c3a2backed San Diego State | 57c | 39$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.23 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -32%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1c1…d791backed UNLV | 43c | 38$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.66 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…34d7backed UNLV | 42c | 38$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.04 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb0d…5e48backed San Diego State | 58c | 37$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.46 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b5c…f250backed UNLV | 42c | 37$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.46 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1406…7e33backed UNLV | 42c | 36$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5bf…07d8backed UNLV | 42c | 36$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.88 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +119%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9852…57e8backed San Diego State | 57c | 36$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c5a…8747backed UNLV | 43c | 36$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.52 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ebd…9f2fbacked UNLV | 42c | 35$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.3 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +119%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf941…4149backed UNLV | 46c | 35$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa713…795abacked UNLV | 42c | 34$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe753…c213backed UNLV | 43c | 34$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdccc…32c1backed UNLV | 42c | 34$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.72 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 61cpaid | +82.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ef0…a05fbacked UNLV | 44c | 34$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa213…d9a1backed San Diego State | 54c | 33$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.82 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd173…0b6bbacked UNLV | 42c | 33$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.14 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.41per pick | 43cpaid | +112%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1632…0f21backed UNLV | 43c | 33$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.81 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9c…a8e9backed UNLV | 42c | 32$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fab…f415backed UNLV | 42c | 32$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.56 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +119%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabb7…1b00backed UNLV | 46c | 32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f18…840ebacked UNLV | 42c | 31$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.98 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +89.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2585…82febacked San Diego State | 58c | 31$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.98 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2b4…7d1ebacked UNLV | 43c | 31$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.67 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 61cpaid | +80.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x914b…cc87backed UNLV | 42c | 31$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.98 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 60cpaid | +84%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e4e…03edbacked San Diego State | 54c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dc4…ce32backed UNLV | 43c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d4…b20dbacked UNLV | 43c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe097…7099backed San Diego State | 54c | 29$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa9f…f2a3backed San Diego State | 58c | 28$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x284e…c54abacked San Diego State | 58c | 28$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.24 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3019…b55dbacked UNLV | 42c | 28$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.24 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x978a…6da5backed San Diego State | 56c | 28$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.68 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf70f…2fb0backed San Diego State | 58c | 27$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.66 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce67…4f21backed San Diego State | 58c | 27$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.66 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ba8…9984backed San Diego State | 57c | 27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.39 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae3e…5507backed San Diego State | 54c | 26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.04 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7daf…2905backed San Diego State | 56c | 26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf17…65dfbacked San Diego State | 58c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21a7…7a9bbacked San Diego State | 57c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 62cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc452…9521backed UNLV | 46c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff2f…33e9backed San Diego State | 58c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabb0…caccbacked UNLV | 42c | 24$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1355…3ddabacked San Diego State | 58c | 23$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffe…967dbacked San Diego State | 57c | 23$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf5…93a4backed San Diego State | 58c | 23$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.34 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36dd…4b34backed San Diego State | 58c | 23$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.34 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…426abacked San Diego State | 57c | 23$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad42…b70abacked San Diego State | 58c | 23$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2229…72cbbacked San Diego State | 57c | 23$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x535c…2ce7backed San Diego State | 57c | 23$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa9…b0a5backed San Diego State | 57c | 23$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e30…6cfebacked San Diego State | 58c | 22$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.76 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf1…0e0fbacked San Diego State | 58c | 22$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1305…4731backed San Diego State | 57c | 21$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.97 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.