Ligue 1 · resolved market
Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2e2054c7bbf0a7989ee1c0b1f209323f7f95a3a2408dbbcf1a914b68276d0556
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,802
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,628
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,802 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 38c | 2,440$923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$923.04 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf78e…0956backed Over | 70c | 1,012$708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Over | 57c | 998.28$569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.26 | 91 | 40.7%37 W · 54 L | -6.4wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x42a8…81f5backed Over | 58c | 535.1$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.1 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +51%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x68d6…cfb9backed Over | 57c | 526.32$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.32 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -3.1wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Under | 43c | 526.32$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.32 | 215 | 60%129 W · 86 L | +15.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Under | 41c | 447.06$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.9 | 123 | 39.8%49 W · 74 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Under | 42c | 300.25$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.4 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | +5.3wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Under | 41c | 264.1$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.28 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x127a…ca3cbacked Over | 59c | 237.29$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.29 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x74b4…b283backed Over | 57c | 177.16$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x553b…f71cbacked Under | 42c | 149.99$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1d…6a8bbacked Over | 56c | 142.86$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.86 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.33per pick | 53cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b2b…d4d3backed Over | 58c | 120.69$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.69 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15e3…009fbacked Over | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -5.8wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 44c | 52.62$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.15 | 231 | 51.5%119 W · 112 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…36f2backed Over | 54c | 52.22$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.1 | 93 | 55.9%52 W · 41 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x172d…6f3ebacked Over | 58c | 43.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.1 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -4.9wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 44c | 41.71$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.33 | 190 | 55.8%106 W · 84 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1cb…4d25backed Over | 58c | 41.38$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.38 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b2…5f43backed Over | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04b3…ad8dbacked Over | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -5.0wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9eae…98a5backed Over | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 42 | 73.8%31 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 70cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17d7…b655backed Over | 58c | 20.69$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.69 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeedf…1483backed Over | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +5.7wins | +0.26per pick | 47cpaid | +57.1%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace: O/U 2.5this page
- Spread: Stade Rennais FC 1901 (-0.5)Stade Rennais FC 1901 won
- Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.