Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Florida Gulf Coast vs. Austin Peay
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2e6700ac2f6c7880ee703f1f2fa2b4e7dc96912432a75ed0e707948209068f29
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Austin Peayof Florida Gulf Coast, Austin Peay
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,354
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,367
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,354 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfb3c…28c2backed Austin Peay | 32c | 120$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0979…d9a5backed Florida Gulf Coast | 68c | 120$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba7…e841backed Florida Gulf Coast | 68c | 90$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…9185backed Austin Peay | 32c | 90$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x452d…2da7backed Florida Gulf Coast | 50c | 47$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…c500backed Austin Peay | 50c | 47$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2e…515cbacked Florida Gulf Coast | 50c | 37$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02f7…2dbabacked Austin Peay | 50c | 37$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Austin Peay | 30c | 34.54$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.33 | 284 | 45.1%128 W · 156 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f26…e4c8backed Austin Peay | 50c | 32$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.4wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7ff5…eb2fbacked Austin Peay | 33c | 31$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.77 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d4…10bfbacked Florida Gulf Coast | 67c | 31$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.77 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2366…1078backed Florida Gulf Coast | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 247 | 59.5%147 W · 100 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b9…04acbacked Florida Gulf Coast | 50c | 28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xded8…1ca9backed Austin Peay | 50c | 28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b62…2e0abacked Austin Peay | 50c | 27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c1c…4401backed Florida Gulf Coast | 50c | 27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bad…fb0cbacked Austin Peay | 50c | 27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 20cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d3…0de3backed Florida Gulf Coast | 50c | 27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2ea…92b4backed Austin Peay | 50c | 27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fae…2100backed Florida Gulf Coast | 50c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf534…faafbacked Austin Peay | 50c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 44cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x404e…6351backed Austin Peay | 50c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80a6…f85fbacked Florida Gulf Coast | 50c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacb1…7382backed Florida Gulf Coast | 50c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2540…f59fbacked Florida Gulf Coast | 50c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x861b…7853backed Florida Gulf Coast | 67c | 24$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.08 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.29per pick | 57cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…327abacked Florida Gulf Coast | 50c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb064…a7ffbacked Florida Gulf Coast | 50c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe35c…7d2abacked Austin Peay | 50c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | 0%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b0…8785backed Florida Gulf Coast | 50c | 21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe88c…34a0backed Austin Peay | 50c | 21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc778…6d39backed Florida Gulf Coast | 50c | 21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.