Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Northwestern State vs. SE Louisiana
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2e6e59d86be37cdda712af50e05526c4e6c3c6a72b537d4e4c9e57942be77084
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Northwestern Stateof Northwestern State, SE Louisiana
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,715
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,775
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,715 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbd8b…e9f0backed Northwestern State | 26c | 205$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.7 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +128%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd710…8c3cbacked Northwestern State | 31c | 137$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.53 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +58.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8830…e62fbacked Northwestern State | 33c | 106$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.02 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcc…4e08backed SE Louisiana | 74c | 100$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49f7…046bbacked SE Louisiana | 75c | 98$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.5 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18d7…f54bbacked SE Louisiana | 69c | 95$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.55 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Northwestern State | 25c | 91$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.25 | 283 | 35%99 W · 184 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfec6…2346backed SE Louisiana | 74c | 88$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc43a…b28cbacked Northwestern State | 31c | 75$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab3c…5093backed Northwestern State | 27c | 70$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.1 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…2c06backed Northwestern State | 26c | 64$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.36 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7de…923bbacked SE Louisiana | 62c | 63$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.18 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a6…5e9bbacked SE Louisiana | 69c | 58$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.02 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a88…9c4cbacked SE Louisiana | 74c | 50$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd88…1ca6backed SE Louisiana | 73c | 49$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.77 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -3.6wins | -0.26per pick | 62cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc551…a7cabacked SE Louisiana | 74c | 48$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.52 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 67cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd3…c8e2backed Northwestern State | 26c | 46$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.04 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71bb…40d8backed SE Louisiana | 67c | 45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…cee0backed SE Louisiana | 64c | 44$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.16 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7926…c2b3backed SE Louisiana | 67c | 44$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6838…77b0backed Northwestern State | 36c | 44$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.16 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +105.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb666…d86bbacked Northwestern State | 50c | 31$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1116…44c0backed SE Louisiana | 74c | 22$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.28 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.37per pick | 62cpaid | -50%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x413e…9255backed SE Louisiana | 67c | 17$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.39 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb94b…966ebacked SE Louisiana | 69c | 17$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.73 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9eb4…e58fbacked SE Louisiana | 69c | 16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -2.0wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xda39…bccebacked SE Louisiana | 69c | 16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3b…a3f2backed SE Louisiana | 74c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 68cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.