Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Youngstown State vs. Cleveland State
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2fbbeae1322b75b739c84a5cb35aa9b7642a87a8aaaa850c2d863d8a46d589b4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Youngstown Stateof Youngstown State, Cleveland State
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,090
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,060
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,090 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x480d…f219backed Cleveland State | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 391 | 44.5%174 W · 217 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Youngstown State | 37c | 480.49$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.11 | 429 | 48.5%208 W · 221 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70f8…d0d5backed Cleveland State | 59c | 338.98$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd88…1ca6backed Cleveland State | 64c | 296.64$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.59 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -3.6wins | -0.26per pick | 62cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Youngstown State | 37c | 205$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.15 | 283 | 35%99 W · 184 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8433…5c3fbacked Cleveland State | 63c | 176$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.88 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21bd…ae93backed Youngstown State | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 73cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Youngstown State | 39c | 126.25$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.57 | 530 | 57.4%304 W · 226 L | +33.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6017…e5cabacked Youngstown State | 37c | 111$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.93 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 48cpaid | +63.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Youngstown State | 46c | 102.14$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.05 | 284 | 45.1%128 W · 156 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8aa…fabebacked Youngstown State | 37c | 99$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.37 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75b3…dae6backed Cleveland State | 63c | 99$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.37 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x823f…91b8backed Youngstown State | 37c | 74$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.62 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeedb…538dbacked Youngstown State | 37c | 68$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.84 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +100.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e4a…5eefbacked Cleveland State | 63c | 59$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.17 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c2…b254backed Cleveland State | 63c | 49$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.87 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7713…d89fbacked Youngstown State | 37c | 48$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.24 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaba9…b972backed Cleveland State | 63c | 46$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2366…1078backed Cleveland State | 61c | 40.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 247 | 59.5%147 W · 100 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16e6…1c52backed Cleveland State | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 96 | 58.3%56 W · 40 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc03…3fd9backed Cleveland State | 60c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf77…7fb9backed Cleveland State | 64c | 28$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf547…d09abacked Youngstown State | 36c | 28$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.92 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 39cpaid | +56.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86ad…a165backed Cleveland State | 61c | 24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f75…9fdbbacked Cleveland State | 62c | 21$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca4…3dd5backed Cleveland State | 62c | 19$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.78 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa60a…6bebbacked Cleveland State | 61c | 18.82$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x078b…d32cbacked Cleveland State | 62c | 18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.