Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Tennessee State vs. Eastern Illinois
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2fdc2f0a118380122a547d910eeaa43c4891cd92c688ca5f3ccdecbdc37ceac8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tennessee Stateof Tennessee State, Eastern Illinois
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,749
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,708
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,749 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Eastern Illinois | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 41 | 9.8%4 W · 37 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -83.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6514…9303backed Tennessee State | 50c | 173$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.5 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc589…9958backed Eastern Illinois | 50c | 118$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d38…d685backed Eastern Illinois | 40c | 103$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9f1…3f30backed Eastern Illinois | 50c | 101$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f5…2a99backed Tennessee State | 50c | 101$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba4…7f20backed Tennessee State | 58c | 97$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.74 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +3.2wins | +0.46per pick | 55cpaid | +109.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc683…404cbacked Tennessee State | 58c | 79$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b64…2bcbbacked Tennessee State | 60c | 69.19$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.68 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x947d…2a2abacked Eastern Illinois | 40c | 69$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39b3…a22cbacked Eastern Illinois | 50c | 65$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Eastern Illinois | 41c | 64.48$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.46 | 530 | 57.4%304 W · 226 L | +33.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe0e8…cc01backed Eastern Illinois | 42c | 61$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.62 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4839…8bd5backed Eastern Illinois | 53c | 61$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26cd…d48dbacked Eastern Illinois | 55c | 51$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.05 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdac1…4ee3backed Eastern Illinois | 42c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fc2…608bbacked Eastern Illinois | 39c | 47$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x110e…518dbacked Tennessee State | 60c | 46$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +83.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf731…25fabacked Tennessee State | 45c | 45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.75 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd51c…6b2cbacked Eastern Illinois | 55c | 45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +49.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Eastern Illinois | 43c | 44.77$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.17 | 284 | 45.1%128 W · 156 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbea5…9944backed Tennessee State | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.26per pick | 60cpaid | +52.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe785…f764backed Eastern Illinois | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e7…500abacked Eastern Illinois | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92ec…1613backed Tennessee State | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf62…f354backed Tennessee State | 60c | 39$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7599…c971backed Tennessee State | 61c | 38$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.82 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb418…058abacked Eastern Illinois | 38c | 35$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2366…1078backed Tennessee State | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 247 | 59.5%147 W · 100 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a32…7f0bbacked Eastern Illinois | 38c | 34$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf8b…e4e3backed Tennessee State | 60c | 32$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.8 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7530…78d1backed Eastern Illinois | 38c | 32$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x235f…37cabacked Eastern Illinois | 45c | 32$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5da…25f5backed Tennessee State | 60c | 31$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.4 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.6wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +78.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0ed3…72cbbacked Tennessee State | 58c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa73d…0835backed Eastern Illinois | 42c | 26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49fc…07cabacked Tennessee State | 58c | 26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Tennessee State | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 605 | 51.4%311 W · 294 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9798…ce02backed Tennessee State | 62c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.5 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.31per pick | 36cpaid | +57%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…948fbacked Eastern Illinois | 50c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b7c…4c13backed Eastern Illinois | 42c | 24$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66f3…b7fabacked Tennessee State | 61c | 22$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.58 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b12…2bb4backed Tennessee State | 47c | 22$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.66 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 49cpaid | +106.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4af1…c09dbacked Tennessee State | 62c | 21$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x979b…300fbacked Tennessee State | 62c | 21$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.98 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +207.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa940…2ed4backed Tennessee State | 62c | 21$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab72…4757backed Tennessee State | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Tennessee State | 59c | 17$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.99 | 429 | 48.5%208 W · 221 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.