CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x30b70cfd26962d34a85a32fe24c9e422e4efb562455cd0fbca098eeed5fbe504
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,752
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,168
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,752 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Over | 75c | 1,961$1,479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,479.38 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Under | 26c | 999.98$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$739.99 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 77c | 426.96$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.65 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb66…c8dfbacked Under | 24c | 409.33$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.29 | 84 | 45.2%38 W · 46 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Over | 76c | 384.61$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.3 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab6…078ebacked Under | 22c | 372.39$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.31 | 239 | 52.3%125 W · 114 L | +14.6wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb16…7ecfbacked Under | 22c | 277.99$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.01 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | +14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7c…164dbacked Under | 23c | 270$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.9 | 349 | 43%150 W · 199 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8726…0f36backed Over | 78c | 227.98$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.82 | 740 | 54.6%404 W · 336 L | +15.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Under | 23c | 200$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155 | 262 | 46.9%123 W · 139 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66ea…6791backed Under | 22c | 149.03$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.03 | 179 | 48%86 W · 93 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Over | 79c | 115.02$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.87 | 232 | 45.3%105 W · 127 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6041…3326backed Under | 21c | 115.02$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.87 | 157 | 56.1%88 W · 69 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a37…4daebacked Under | 27c | 111.11$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.11 | 126 | 42.9%54 W · 72 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd95d…2ab5backed Under | 22c | 91.84$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.64 | 325 | 44.3%144 W · 181 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0193…bad1backed Under | 22c | 87.95$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.6 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd679…91a0backed Over | 79c | 58$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.82 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc59f…954ebacked Under | 22c | 48.18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.58 | 216 | 53.2%115 W · 101 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 79c | 30$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.7 | 1,003 | 55.7%559 W · 444 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Over | 77c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 128 | 56.3%72 W · 56 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6700…67c4backed Over | 74c | 16.43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.16 | 153 | 51.6%79 W · 74 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: Yawara Esports vs Guara Esports (BO3) - BetBoom Storm Group StageYawara Esports won
- Counter-Strike: Yawara Esports vs Guara Esports - Map 1 WinnerYawara Esports won
- Counter-Strike: Yawara Esports vs Guara Esports - Map 2 WinnerYawara Esports won
- Map Handicap: YAW (-1.5) vs Guara Esports (+1.5)Yawara Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.