Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Houston Christian vs. Texas A&M Commerce
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x30d370cfc140b6187e77340a37d6d4bf0dc202707106cc41ad61766ca0190a39
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Texas A&M Commerceof Houston Christian, Texas A&M Commerce
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,789
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,038
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,789 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Texas A&M Commerce | 41c | 3,011$1,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,771.44 | 530 | 57.4%304 W · 226 L | +33.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Houston Christian | 59c | 2,543$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 415 | 54.2%225 W · 190 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Houston Christian | 37c | 1,689$623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$622.64 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9627…7d99backed Houston Christian | 27c | 773$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.71 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a09…49d7backed Houston Christian | 53c | 571$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.63 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +22%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72ce…fdcabacked Texas A&M Commerce | 47c | 443$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.79 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +78.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5608…fae1backed Texas A&M Commerce | 47c | 420$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.6 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +72.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x89d8…7d2dbacked Houston Christian | 53c | 374$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.22 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70f5…53d2backed Texas A&M Commerce | 47c | 287$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.11 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 44cpaid | +81.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b65…8466backed Texas A&M Commerce | 73c | 268$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.36 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +80.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x014d…2803backed Texas A&M Commerce | 73c | 267$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3c…ddd9backed Texas A&M Commerce | 73c | 238$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.26 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeb3e…ce88backed Houston Christian | 53c | 205$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.65 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd2…39c5backed Texas A&M Commerce | 50c | 86$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Houston Christian | 49c | 80$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.8 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb924…7f4ebacked Houston Christian | 28c | 59$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7e7…9989backed Texas A&M Commerce | 72c | 49$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.72 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ded…a6c5backed Texas A&M Commerce | 47c | 49$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.97 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 49cpaid | +106.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf7b…353ebacked Houston Christian | 52c | 49$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.48 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8b7…c4dbbacked Houston Christian | 53c | 47$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5f1…c5e8backed Texas A&M Commerce | 48c | 42$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.84 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7390…402cbacked Texas A&M Commerce | 72c | 41$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.48 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd9…2001backed Texas A&M Commerce | 47c | 39$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf612…dc19backed Texas A&M Commerce | 50c | 39$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1200…9006backed Houston Christian | 52c | 38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.76 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x335c…7b08backed Texas A&M Commerce | 48c | 37$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.24 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +87.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba4d…f8d7backed Texas A&M Commerce | 48c | 37$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.24 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d80…1f43backed Houston Christian | 52c | 37$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafc6…bae5backed Texas A&M Commerce | 48c | 36$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8672…0193backed Houston Christian | 50c | 36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a95…4333backed Texas A&M Commerce | 50c | 36$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabdf…8e9cbacked Houston Christian | 50c | 35$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a1…685abacked Texas A&M Commerce | 50c | 35$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9db2…29d7backed Houston Christian | 50c | 35$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12c0…27c3backed Texas A&M Commerce | 48c | 35$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.2 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +102.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56e7…d596backed Houston Christian | 50c | 35$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95d3…3722backed Texas A&M Commerce | 48c | 35$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5927…36e9backed Texas A&M Commerce | 48c | 35$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 36cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25ff…797dbacked Houston Christian | 52c | 35$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc82…db33backed Houston Christian | 52c | 34$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3998…4afebacked Houston Christian | 52c | 34$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.68 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 59cpaid | -55%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1632…9f09backed Texas A&M Commerce | 73c | 33$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.91 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bea…6626backed Texas A&M Commerce | 72c | 33$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.24 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…7684backed Houston Christian | 50c | 33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83df…0419backed Texas A&M Commerce | 48c | 33$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ab3…b11abacked Texas A&M Commerce | 50c | 33$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20c5…43e3backed Houston Christian | 52c | 33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.16 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7b63…5a13backed Texas A&M Commerce | 72c | 31$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d1…23e9backed Houston Christian | 52c | 31$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6287…9f3ebacked Texas A&M Commerce | 50c | 31$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a43…e0e2backed Houston Christian | 52c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e6…9dccbacked Houston Christian | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ebc…98e5backed Houston Christian | 53c | 29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.37 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ffa…4870backed Houston Christian | 50c | 28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7d…3e0dbacked Texas A&M Commerce | 72c | 28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d96…4a83backed Texas A&M Commerce | 72c | 27$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b18…6b83backed Texas A&M Commerce | 48c | 27$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6256…a323backed Texas A&M Commerce | 48c | 27$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbe…1cf3backed Texas A&M Commerce | 72c | 27$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.56 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda91…b340backed Texas A&M Commerce | 50c | 27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2617…2e29backed Houston Christian | 50c | 27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0371…b138backed Texas A&M Commerce | 72c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fd5…b95ebacked Houston Christian | 50c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d8e…7bd4backed Houston Christian | 52c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.58per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b5…28b0backed Texas A&M Commerce | 72c | 24$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.72 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +69.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2454…1794backed Texas A&M Commerce | 72c | 23$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacab…27bcbacked Texas A&M Commerce | 72c | 23$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11a0…47d5backed Houston Christian | 50c | 21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff02…5fc7backed Texas A&M Commerce | 50c | 21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23ba…acf7backed Texas A&M Commerce | 72c | 21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8610…0088backed Texas A&M Commerce | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9c…2997backed Texas A&M Commerce | 73c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 62cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9d0…1082backed Texas A&M Commerce | 72c | 14$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.