Tennis · resolved market
Asuncion: Valerio Aboian vs Joao Lucas Da Silva
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x30d5395db569a1d85f4858c84a0689f2e729198d30dbaa58d22704fd33098571
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Joao Lucas Da Silvaof Valerio Aboian, Joao Lucas Da Silva
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,898
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,898 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Valerio Aboian | 8c | 2,671$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.44 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc48a…c6c4backed Valerio Aboian | 12c | 800$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 55 | 14.5%8 W · 47 L | -4.6wins | -0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -66.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x44b6…98b4backed Joao Lucas Da Silva | 76c | 339.47$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.23 | 185 | 48.6%90 W · 95 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Valerio Aboian | 22c | 327.89$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.72 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked Valerio Aboian | 32c | 288.99$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.59 | 469 | 32%150 W · 319 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x852d…c3dfbacked Joao Lucas Da Silva | 79c | 253.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.16 | 106 | 64.2%68 W · 38 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Valerio Aboian | 29c | 202.47$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.58 | 363 | 33.9%123 W · 240 L | -12.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Valerio Aboian | 29c | 182.57$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.04 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb69…c3e5backed Joao Lucas Da Silva | 67c | 149.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.5 | 1,076 | 55.5%597 W · 479 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f3…f7dfbacked Joao Lucas Da Silva | 68c | 147$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.04 | 382 | 68.1%260 W · 122 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…46c2backed Valerio Aboian | 32c | 128.79$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.21 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x012d…9db6backed Joao Lucas Da Silva | 68c | 117.65$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.65 | 849 | 68.4%581 W · 268 L | +25.9wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed Valerio Aboian | 21c | 105.75$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.95 | 142 | 25.4%36 W · 106 L | -10.2wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd68e…8048backed Joao Lucas Da Silva | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 412 | 72.8%300 W · 112 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 71cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe52e…ac6dbacked Valerio Aboian | 33c | 90.91$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 170 | 51.8%88 W · 82 L | +10.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…ff77backed Joao Lucas Da Silva | 69c | 89$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.59 | 967 | 55.3%535 W · 432 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58f2…692ebacked Joao Lucas Da Silva | 68c | 74$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.68 | 534 | 57.7%308 W · 226 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x751b…90fbbacked Joao Lucas Da Silva | 67c | 62.69$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.69 | 207 | 58%120 W · 87 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd866…55e0backed Joao Lucas Da Silva | 75c | 31.16$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.75 | 384 | 60.4%232 W · 152 L | +29.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1951…7542backed Joao Lucas Da Silva | 66c | 29.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 75 | 66.7%50 W · 25 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Joao Lucas Da Silva | 67c | 23.41$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.73 | 2,065 | 35.2%727 W · 1,338 L | -52.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Joao Lucas Da Silva | 65c | 15.98$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.59 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.