Serie A · resolved market
Will Atalanta beat Lecce?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x30e03a07eaacd60210c67c394f715fdf65521fe8167383d8f9548f55b641b26f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,283
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,720
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,283 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 13 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed No | 24c | 2,500$598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,902 | 79 | 45.6%36 W · 43 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Yes | 76c | 2,180$1,657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,656.8 | 175 | 43.4%76 W · 99 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked No | 18c | 433.1$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.09 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 21c | 201.32$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.68 | 69 | 60.9%42 W · 27 L | +6.3wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Yes | 79c | 166.93$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.54 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -5.4wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xda0f…f0e7backed No | 60c | 135$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.5 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +3.1wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +103.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5902…59fabacked Yes | 76c | 120$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.2 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.41per pick | 61cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 21c | 105.06$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83 | 284 | 58.1%165 W · 119 L | +12.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Yes | 78c | 100$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 142 | 54.2%77 W · 65 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x866d…4d7dbacked No | 18c | 99.19$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.97 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked No | 18c | 67$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.94 | 131 | 52.7%69 W · 62 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e42…9003backed Yes | 78c | 33.07$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.79 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00a8…8d58backed Yes | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.