Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will FC Utrecht win on 2025-11-02?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x30e2c42bd88554e87be74d98c951ca10a21344c067e35cc0a0e3a1cd78a5a528
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $40,194
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $43,712
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,194 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3151…0977backed No | 47c | 29,474$13,984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,983.69 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 44c | 25,000$11,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,000 | 362 | 43.1%156 W · 206 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed No | 48c | 2,689$1,294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,293.58 | 133 | 47.4%63 W · 70 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…9974backed Yes | 42c | 2,000$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,159.97 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | +4.4wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 58c | 1,448$846 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$846.25 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3859…3070backed Yes | 47c | 1,064$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564.47 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 53c | 921.36$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.83 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6896…3682backed Yes | 42c | 685.52$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.6 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.17per pick | 38cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 55c | 595.75$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.26 | 464 | 54.3%252 W · 212 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8245…4f87backed Yes | 71c | 563.38$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.38 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8bd…df80backed Yes | 45c | 311.11$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.11 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -5.7wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 55c | 309.57$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.64 | 293 | 57.3%168 W · 125 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Yes | 40c | 269$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.4 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 73c | 153.34$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.78 | 853 | 40.1%342 W · 511 L | -12.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb476…2d87backed Yes | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f6…5ac8backed Yes | 42c | 120.07$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.64 | 90 | 33.3%30 W · 60 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09ce…ddd7backed Yes | 40c | 115$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +94.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 39c | 100$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.28 | 106 | 17.9%19 W · 87 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f7b…3f03backed Yes | 44c | 99.74$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.85 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 45c | 88.89$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.89 | 327 | 39.4%129 W · 198 L | -22.7wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9315…a73fbacked Yes | 66c | 82.47$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.04 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0613…5204backed Yes | 45c | 78.64$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.25 | 48 | 33.3%16 W · 32 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5244…23d9backed Yes | 43c | 70$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.9 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc909…1df4backed Yes | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.19 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +66.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 29c | 51.18$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.67 | 181 | 43.6%79 W · 102 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90e0…ff4cbacked Yes | 55c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 71 | 7%5 W · 66 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -89.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3b9…c68cbacked Yes | 63c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +90.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xced0…c680backed Yes | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.78 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 60c | 45$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.85 | 166 | 47.6%79 W · 87 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 56c | 43.96$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.62 | 490 | 46.9%230 W · 260 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd3…4394backed Yes | 69c | 43.46$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.47 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2108…9abdbacked Yes | 71c | 35.21$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc47e…8ae4backed No | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 53c | 32.66$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.31 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde37…b9bfbacked Yes | 47c | 32.15$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.15 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +93.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e01…757abacked No | 34c | 30$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.9wins | -0.21per pick | 49cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked No | 54c | 29.87$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.13 | 70 | 55.7%39 W · 31 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +16%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…feaebacked Yes | 45c | 27.94$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.34 | 61 | 27.9%17 W · 44 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa0b…9672backed Yes | 75c | 25.52$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdacb…72f8backed Yes | 72c | 24.06$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.74 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd5…5073backed Yes | 64c | 21.16$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.62 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Utrecht win on 2025-11-02?this page
- Will FC Utrecht vs. NEC end in a draw?No won
- Will NEC win on 2025-11-02?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.