Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: GGEZ vs LIT Esport (BO1)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x313c8b336d74ff7749ee1b217e86fa87a425e0b0922203c5de30d1c5a83645f5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- GGEZof GGEZ, LIT Esport
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,484
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,598
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,484 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed LIT Esport | 0c | 3,682$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.46 | 274 | 11.3%31 W · 243 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf12e…ca08backed LIT Esport | 40c | 1,870$748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$748 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…e6c6backed LIT Esport | 40c | 1,430$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8cf…a03abacked GGEZ | 60c | 970$582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cad…e61ebacked GGEZ | 60c | 900$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc406…04bebacked LIT Esport | 40c | 850$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…e94ebacked GGEZ | 60c | 800$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea66…3439backed GGEZ | 60c | 630$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed5b…eb1dbacked LIT Esport | 41c | 630$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe149…27b7backed LIT Esport | 41c | 600$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea72…16a2backed LIT Esport | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa574…45d8backed GGEZ | 59c | 440$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x992e…26f9backed GGEZ | 60c | 430$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d57…d1d0backed GGEZ | 59c | 420$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed18…315cbacked GGEZ | 60c | 420$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a32…1110backed GGEZ | 60c | 310$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked LIT Esport | 39c | 192.13$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.93 | 551 | 52.5%289 W · 262 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a76…4fe9backed GGEZ | 60c | 190$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57e6…c613backed GGEZ | 59c | 190$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86dc…d24dbacked GGEZ | 59c | 180$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddd3…dba6backed LIT Esport | 36c | 138.82$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe9…9c50backed GGEZ | 60c | 97.5$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdac9…56e7backed GGEZ | 61c | 91.02$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe64b…9cf1backed GGEZ | 60c | 36.66$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.71 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.33per pick | 50cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7163…3601backed GGEZ | 43c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 48cpaid | +112.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28ad…0614backed LIT Esport | 57c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -4.3wins | -0.17per pick | 43cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaad7…5557backed GGEZ | 55c | 18.48$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.32 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.