Lol · resolved market
LoL: Team Phoenix vs SU Esports - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3187d34ee2bb414f8d3d396e300947c48ed4b10ce16ca87fed22b9c4f80c2e9b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- SU Esportsof Team Phoenix, SU Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,447
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,735
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,447 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 11 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb4c8…cf96backed Team Phoenix | 3c | 5,516$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.56 | 73 | 41.1%30 W · 43 L | +6.7wins | +0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x135f…528cbacked Team Phoenix | 14c | 631$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.34 | 172 | 28.5%49 W · 123 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4309…7456backed Team Phoenix | 2c | 550$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 43 | 14%6 W · 37 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x024c…5fa1backed Team Phoenix | 9c | 476.4$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.35 | 1,208 | 35.8%432 W · 776 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5011…94b4backed Team Phoenix | 16c | 269$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.04 | 248 | 35.1%87 W · 161 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1de2…bdd7backed Team Phoenix | 17c | 268.54$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 134 | 21.6%29 W · 105 L | -10.9wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…4500backed Team Phoenix | 15c | 267.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 127 | 27.6%35 W · 92 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Team Phoenix | 9c | 250$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 1,241 | 34.7%431 W · 810 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Team Phoenix | 30c | 250$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 1,170 | 66.2%774 W · 396 L | +69.6wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Team Phoenix | 12c | 174.13$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.89 | 1,539 | 43.7%673 W · 866 L | -28.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31c7…eca3backed Team Phoenix | 11c | 109.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 126 | 38.9%49 W · 77 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Team Phoenix vs SU Esports - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Game Handicap: SU (-1.5) vs Team Phoenix (+1.5)SU Esports won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: Team Phoenix vs SU Esports (BO3) - TCL Regular SeasonSU Esports won
- LoL: Team Phoenix vs SU Esports - Game 2 WinnerSU Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.