College Football · resolved market
Spread: UConn (-11.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x321b8c226132c8cf7af15fe5f299b7802163a24497cfce0633013d0370116713
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- UConnof UConn, UAB Blazers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,822
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,088
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,822 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x16b2…a881backed UAB Blazers | 52c | 9,328$4,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,850.38 | 935 | 48.4%453 W · 482 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked UConn | 48c | 8,497$4,073 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,423.82 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2157…dda0backed UConn | 49c | 1,524$747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$777.24 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed UConn | 48c | 1,435$689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$746.09 | 1,090 | 41.7%455 W · 635 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80c9…4e74backed UConn | 49c | 1,160$568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$591.6 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde91…f20abacked UConn | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e45…2390backed UConn | 50c | 944$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.34per pick | 52cpaid | +67.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc491…a2fcbacked UConn | 49c | 896$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.96 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28a2…a8b2backed UAB Blazers | 51c | 792$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.92 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +17%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked UAB Blazers | 53c | 755$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.15 | 224 | 37.5%84 W · 140 L | -17.3wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc869…8a6ebacked UAB Blazers | 52c | 673.08$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 179 | 46.9%84 W · 95 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeddf…20b1backed UAB Blazers | 51c | 610$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.1 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.22per pick | 51cpaid | -44%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…8a3bbacked UConn | 49c | 499$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.49 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b51…5c96backed UAB Blazers | 50c | 439$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.5 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 50cpaid | -44%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e9…8dcfbacked UConn | 50c | 434$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.34per pick | 52cpaid | +67.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…483fbacked UAB Blazers | 50c | 427$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.5 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.34per pick | 51cpaid | -67.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…cdaabacked UAB Blazers | 53c | 426.13$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.85 | 157 | 45.2%71 W · 86 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20c4…4f31backed UAB Blazers | 51c | 402$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.02 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc0…4053backed UAB Blazers | 51c | 377$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.27 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x360e…9d19backed UAB Blazers | 51c | 351$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.01 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 49cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb803…5a53backed UAB Blazers | 51c | 302$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.02 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.22per pick | 51cpaid | -44%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8feb…a6d3backed UAB Blazers | 51c | 217$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.67 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9811…3827backed UAB Blazers | 51c | 213$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.63 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -16%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked UConn | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 756 | 51.9%392 W · 364 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked UConn | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 422 | 44.5%188 W · 234 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc40…c293backed UAB Blazers | 50c | 197$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.5 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.22per pick | 51cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x022f…645cbacked UAB Blazers | 51c | 194$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.94 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -16%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed UAB Blazers | 55c | 185$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.75 | 568 | 44.5%253 W · 315 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf3…5794backed UAB Blazers | 51c | 172$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.72 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -16%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c64…d791backed UAB Blazers | 51c | 169$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.19 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 49cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8576…21e0backed UAB Blazers | 51c | 158$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.58 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5dce…1c1ebacked UAB Blazers | 50c | 134$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ae…7bcdbacked UAB Blazers | 51c | 122$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.22 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c96…4fa0backed UAB Blazers | 50c | 103$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.5 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 50cpaid | -44%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7865…5a91backed UAB Blazers | 50c | 78$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf1…c04bbacked UConn | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: UConn (-11.5)this page
- O/U 64.5Under won
- UAB Blazers vs. UConnUConn won
- UAB Blazers vs. UConn: O/U 62.5Under won
- UAB Blazers vs. UConn: O/U 63.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.