Europa Conference League · resolved market
K. Sint-Truidense VV vs. AS Omónoia Leukosías: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3294f734c334a4ccf05292a6c9b5fa1b38a7fc9ca79220ebc97a1c6e65ca78ce
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,274
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,273
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,274 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 13 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 51c | 997.29$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.04 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 68c | 763.88$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.76 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb511…e800backed Under | 32c | 752.81$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.91 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.9wins | +0.41per pick | 45cpaid | +114.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 26c | 529.07$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.76 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed Over | 71c | 506$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.26 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77d5…eacebacked Over | 6c | 180$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2983…4eb2backed Under | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +5.4wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Over | 69c | 60$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.1 | 476 | 49.4%235 W · 241 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7525…fd3cbacked Under | 32c | 49$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.32 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Over | 61c | 42$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.71 | 389 | 52.7%205 W · 184 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…0bb1backed Over | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 50c | 39.73$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.03 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1715…a049backed Over | 72c | 13.8$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- K. Sint-Truidense VV vs. AS Omónoia Leukosías: O/U 1.5this page
- K. Sint-Truidense VV vs. AS Omónoia Leukosías: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- K. Sint-Truidense VV vs. AS Omónoia Leukosías: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- K. Sint-Truidense VV vs. AS Omónoia Leukosías: AS Omónoia Leukosías O/U 0.5Under won
- K. Sint-Truidense VV vs. AS Omónoia Leukosías: O/U 0.5Over won
- K. Sint-Truidense VV vs. AS Omónoia Leukosías: O/U 2.5Under won
- K. Sint-Truidense VV vs. AS Omónoia Leukosías: O/U 3.5Under won
- K. Sint-Truidense VV vs. AS Omónoia Leukosías: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: AS Omónoia Leukosías (-1.5)K. Sint-Truidense VV won
- Spread: K. Sint-Truidense VV (-1.5)AS Omónoia Leukosías won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.