Tennis · resolved market
Ostrava Open, Qualification: Katarzyna Kawa vs Susan Bandecchi
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x32d4e906a5c8118b64d3d75b15aaa427952f2a7fc7188063c9ec8c61e3785680
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bandecchiof Kawa, Bandecchi
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,305
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,764
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,305 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5cfc…8724backed Kawa | 42c | 4,246$1,780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,779.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Bandecchi | 71c | 3,727$2,646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080.98 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Bandecchi | 65c | 2,569$1,668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$901.27 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Bandecchi | 78c | 1,245$977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.74 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb62f…6836backed Kawa | 9c | 1,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 85 | 30.6%26 W · 59 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4042…0bdabacked Kawa | 42c | 949.86$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 982 | 40.1%394 W · 588 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Bandecchi | 72c | 803.11$579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.72 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Kawa | 14c | 681.81$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.77 | 314 | 34.4%108 W · 206 L | -25.2wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Kawa | 12c | 316.23$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.62 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c09…e43bbacked Kawa | 7c | 285.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 29cpaid | -68.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa924…b1b9backed Kawa | 7c | 216$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.96 | 139 | 23.7%33 W · 106 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Kawa | 9c | 205.66$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.41 | 276 | 27.2%75 W · 201 L | -25.2wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x51ec…a7b9backed Kawa | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 108 | 22.2%24 W · 84 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1f…6500backed Kawa | 22c | 176$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.48 | 692 | 49.6%343 W · 349 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Kawa | 28c | 170$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.3 | 1,008 | 46%464 W · 544 L | -19.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c9e…bba8backed Kawa | 21c | 148$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.79 | 67 | 40.3%27 W · 40 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Bandecchi | 64c | 145.94$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.08 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f97…a9b3backed Kawa | 35c | 142.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 262 | 27.9%73 W · 189 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…540bbacked Kawa | 35c | 134.13$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 79 | 36.7%29 W · 50 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfbf…5d35backed Kawa | 18c | 122.98$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.49 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Kawa | 44c | 109$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.96 | 347 | 45.2%157 W · 190 L | +16.5wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Kawa | 26c | 67$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.42 | 1,218 | 41.1%500 W · 718 L | -30.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Bandecchi | 56c | 65$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.69 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfca…68fcbacked Kawa | 35c | 54.98$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.98 | 56 | 26.8%15 W · 41 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Bandecchi | 56c | 53$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.22 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9004…1d2cbacked Bandecchi | 66c | 45.45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.45 | 214 | 55.1%118 W · 96 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23d4…5607backed Bandecchi | 59c | 42.37$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.37 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd925…cb41backed Kawa | 38c | 39.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Kawa | 45c | 30.51$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.82 | 925 | 48.8%451 W · 474 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.