TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Bowling Green vs. Northern Illinois

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Bowling Greenof Bowling Green, Northern Illinois
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$6,143
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$6,131

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,143 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 117 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x29c0…efaabacked Bowling Green39c421$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.391,39144.1%613 W · 778 L-10.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa0e8…4ea9backed Northern Illinois50c247$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.5633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-34.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3fa7…faa0backed Bowling Green62c174$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.12580%4 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.15per pick65cpaid+24.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbea5…9944backed Bowling Green63c132$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.84785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.26per pick60cpaid+52.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa899…4f6abacked Northern Illinois37c132$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.84250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-37.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9510…b8e3backed Bowling Green52c124$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.52475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick69cpaid+13.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f2c…663fbacked Bowling Green52c115$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.2560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid+9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf67d…7ffbbacked Bowling Green62c110$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.82100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+48.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8833…f88dbacked Northern Illinois63c102$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.26540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.15per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc451…8841backed Bowling Green63c99$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.631100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb00…56e1backed Northern Illinois63c72$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.36250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick54cpaid+13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd220…01b1backed Northern Illinois48c70$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.6540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-26.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x64a6…765bbacked Bowling Green63c68$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.16666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+49.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x460e…561bbacked Bowling Green63c68$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.16425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.32per pick57cpaid-60.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x56fe…d140backed Bowling Green50c66$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+40.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x91ff…0c9fbacked Northern Illinois48c65$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.2540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb33a…29c9backed Northern Illinois37c64$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.68250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick41cpaid+13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5383…b04fbacked Bowling Green53c63$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.611100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6c3b…9977backed Northern Illinois37c61$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.57425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-56.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8021…1d33backed Northern Illinois37c60$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.220%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e7e…b484backed Northern Illinois38c58$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.04475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.16per pick60cpaid+15.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf0cd…a271backed Northern Illinois38c55$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.9333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0702…1763backed Northern Illinois38c53$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.1410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2608…469abacked Northern Illinois47c53$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.9120%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x051d…f33cbacked Northern Illinois50c51$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.5425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-32.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe11d…9f5cbacked Northern Illinois47c50$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.5333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-33.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f8c…dd6abacked Northern Illinois63c49$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.87333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x968b…5fc0backed Bowling Green50c46$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfc20…6f89backed Bowling Green52c45$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.6425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-51.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3ecb…5475backed Northern Illinois38c45$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.1633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-46.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x064a…0ee3backed Bowling Green50c44$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked Northern Illinois36c44$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.8434842.8%149 W · 199 L+9.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfaa0…18a7backed Bowling Green50c44$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde8d…cd91backed Bowling Green50c44$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b37…ccd2backed Bowling Green37c44$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.72366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x273b…331cbacked Northern Illinois48c43$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.6420%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0523…633bbacked Bowling Green50c42$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick53cpaid+90.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd4ea…1cb7backed Northern Illinois38c41$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.5820%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8776…1510backed Bowling Green52c41$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.683100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+98.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe609…bc9ebacked Northern Illinois48c40$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x779f…ad47backed Northern Illinois38c40$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ad7…9d45backed Northern Illinois37c40$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.8250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd2fb…f8f1backed Northern Illinois48c39$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.72540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-28.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbcc3…6571backed Northern Illinois37c39$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.43333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-51.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfaf4…7acabacked Bowling Green62c39$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.82366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick44cpaid+20.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0546…2c34backed Northern Illinois48c38$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.24250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe687…5006backed Northern Illinois37c38$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.0620%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa6c3…abf5backed Northern Illinois38c38$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.4430%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7e11…076fbacked Northern Illinois48c38$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.24250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x395b…1875backed Northern Illinois37c38$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.0610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f91…07b0backed Northern Illinois38c37$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.0620%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x91ba…0699backed Bowling Green53c37$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.39366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+11.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x60b1…2a96backed Northern Illinois38c37$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.06250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6b0…88a4backed Northern Illinois50c37$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5930…8e47backed Northern Illinois47c36$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.92333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f64…ed1bbacked Northern Illinois38c36$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.68366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick64cpaid-13.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5610…6fcabacked Northern Illinois38c36$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.6820%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4438…5b4bbacked Bowling Green50c36$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d4e…2809backed Northern Illinois38c36$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.68333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-43.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6aa…171abacked Northern Illinois64c35$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5ccb…e9f5backed Northern Illinois47c35$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.45540%2 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.23per pick63cpaid-43.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x47a5…6bbabacked Northern Illinois63c35$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.05333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.30per pick63cpaid-54.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdf53…0241backed Northern Illinois63c35$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.05250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x893b…7b90backed Northern Illinois48c35$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x04a6…db34backed Northern Illinois48c34$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.3210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee33…35ccbacked Bowling Green52c34$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.322100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+61.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1ae1…9242backed Northern Illinois37c34$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.5820%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x05b5…3de8backed Bowling Green50c34$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f76…1a99backed Bowling Green52c33$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.841100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd78…3a0fbacked Northern Illinois48c32$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.36250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-34.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd67c…269bbacked Northern Illinois63c32$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.16366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+12.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde0c…2dd3backed Northern Illinois48c32$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.3610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe1d…5142backed Bowling Green52c32$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.361100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9bb2…464dbacked Northern Illinois48c32$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.3620%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8761…4ac7backed Bowling Green62c32$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.161100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xeac4…68d3backed Bowling Green52c32$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.36333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick60cpaid-35.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2089…184abacked Northern Illinois48c31$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.8830%0 W · 3 L-1.8wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0846…618bbacked Bowling Green52c31$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.88333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-35.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb96c…36c1backed Northern Illinois48c31$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.8820%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfe3a…d5dabacked Northern Illinois48c31$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.8810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x12ec…88debacked Northern Illinois48c31$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.88475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+49.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x54a2…ea5ebacked Bowling Green62c31$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.782100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf86b…5970backed Northern Illinois37c30.21$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.18333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-33.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7fd0…bf3abacked Bowling Green52c30$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb42d…1f32backed Bowling Green53c30$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.1250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x539b…bc11backed Northern Illinois63c30$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.910%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x398f…874fbacked Northern Illinois48c29$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.9210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6fb1…e087backed Bowling Green62c29$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.02366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+23.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9684…1bbabacked Bowling Green52c29$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.921100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xef9b…997abacked Northern Illinois62c29$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.9810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xeda4…4e14backed Bowling Green52c29$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.92250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf829…7cd9backed Northern Illinois48c29$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.92366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+52.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Bowling Green61c28$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.9242948.5%208 W · 221 L-0.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8757…41a4backed Bowling Green52c28$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.441100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x509a…0edfbacked Northern Illinois63c27$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.01250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-36.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb5ef…cf05backed Bowling Green52c27$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.962100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick65cpaid+61.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8d15…2605backed Northern Illinois50c26$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4703…f223backed Bowling Green53c26$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.221100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6f11…eef9backed Bowling Green62c25$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.52100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+80.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x795c…bbb5backed Northern Illinois64c25$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1620%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.