South American Leagues · resolved market
Spread: Botafogo FR (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x338439a6bf1dd7adf4dcf88b79d89dbe8ba831257b67cd781586282c84d3e3a6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Racing Clubof Botafogo FR, Racing Club
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,230
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,260
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,230 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0717…4a95backed Botafogo FR | 8c | 1,013$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb20e…4e44backed Botafogo FR | 7c | 870$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf91c…327dbacked Botafogo FR | 7c | 853.98$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a2e…12fbbacked Botafogo FR | 7c | 825$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01d8…ee5ebacked Botafogo FR | 7c | 792$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4718…467ebacked Botafogo FR | 7c | 790$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…2c97backed Botafogo FR | 7c | 760$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d3…8fbdbacked Botafogo FR | 7c | 758$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf99e…2dbebacked Botafogo FR | 7c | 757$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c2e…77e6backed Botafogo FR | 7c | 754.3$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e20…a6e7backed Botafogo FR | 7c | 737$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3b6…a88abacked Botafogo FR | 7c | 735$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.45 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe80a…cdccbacked Botafogo FR | 7c | 731$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaeaf…e12dbacked Botafogo FR | 7c | 717$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0e8…3be1backed Botafogo FR | 7c | 708$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f81…b929backed Botafogo FR | 7c | 691$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b1…016ebacked Botafogo FR | 7c | 685.36$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47e7…f001backed Botafogo FR | 7c | 658.11$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a70…d2e9backed Botafogo FR | 7c | 495$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Botafogo FR | 6c | 237.13$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.62 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Botafogo FR (-1.5)this page
- Racing Club vs. Botafogo FR: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Racing Club vs. Botafogo FR: O/U 1.5Over won
- Racing Club vs. Botafogo FR: O/U 2.5Over won
- Racing Club vs. Botafogo FR: O/U 3.5Over won
- Racing Club vs. Botafogo FR: O/U 4.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.