NHL · resolved market
AHL: Chicago Wolves vs. Cleveland Monsters
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x33c3831f2218504d6e1085531b0718277cae882aa874225acf8937d785aef8e5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Chicago Wolvesof Chicago Wolves, Cleveland Monsters
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $176,145
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $176,392
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $176,145 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 12 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2382…4628backed Cleveland Monsters | 0c | 123,050$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.05 | 130 | 49.2%64 W · 66 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03d2…e29dbacked Cleveland Monsters | 0c | 48,400$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ed9…ba21backed Chicago Wolves | 7c | 1,440$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,339.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.93per pick | 7cpaid | +1,328.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba9c…d2c1backed Cleveland Monsters | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 98 | 53.1%52 W · 46 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Cleveland Monsters | 49c | 196.08$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.08 | 533 | 37.5%200 W · 333 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ee3…af3fbacked Chicago Wolves | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +133.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Cleveland Monsters | 51c | 105.63$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.87 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6772…1fa4backed Chicago Wolves | 49c | 89.8$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.8 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Cleveland Monsters | 62c | 35$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.82 | 421 | 44.4%187 W · 234 L | -28.0wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -17%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x71ac…5fd6backed Chicago Wolves | 48c | 33.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.67 | 478 | 48.1%230 W · 248 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfacd…d470backed Cleveland Monsters | 51c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda97…bf89backed Cleveland Monsters | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.28per pick | 62cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.