Tennis · resolved market
Mexican Open, Qualification: Patrick Kypson vs Stefan Kozlov
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3407de61eccd5070bb041c633bb57f6e10a5c9faf87a25f05744ad08af665cb7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kypsonof Kypson, Kozlov
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $42,700
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $46,664
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,700 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Kozlov | 16c | 9,920$1,609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,609.01 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Kozlov | 24c | 5,905$1,421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,421.42 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Kypson | 70c | 5,201$3,636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,564.61 | 1,410 | 38.4%542 W · 868 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Kozlov | 27c | 1,946$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528.27 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc49b…a5b8backed Kozlov | 35c | 1,390$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.4 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x35ea…99bcbacked Kypson | 80c | 1,338$1,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.15 | 240 | 60.8%146 W · 94 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Kypson | 65c | 1,251$812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.79 | 990 | 44.8%444 W · 546 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8816…7738backed Kypson | 77c | 1,177$912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.52 | 1,106 | 50.3%556 W · 550 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Kypson | 69c | 1,118$766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.51 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Kypson | 64c | 1,094$704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.19 | 970 | 46.6%452 W · 518 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe500…4b37backed Kypson | 71c | 916.9$651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.9 | 37 | 78.4%29 W · 8 L | +4.5wins | +0.12per pick | 66cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Kozlov | 37c | 689.82$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.13 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1f…6500backed Kypson | 59c | 668$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.64 | 692 | 49.6%343 W · 349 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Kozlov | 17c | 589.99$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.17 | 520 | 37.7%196 W · 324 L | -30.8wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Kypson | 63c | 572$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.79 | 656 | 47.6%312 W · 344 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Kozlov | 30c | 571.39$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.42 | 277 | 33.6%93 W · 184 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…2b3abacked Kypson | 80c | 547$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 503 | 64.6%325 W · 178 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Kozlov | 23c | 437.2$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.29 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Kozlov | 25c | 432.83$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.19 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Kozlov | 27c | 413.37$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.9 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Kozlov | 29c | 392.91$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.94 | 1,039 | 54.6%567 W · 472 L | +37.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa77a…e6f9backed Kypson | 78c | 285.57$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.86 | 214 | 48.1%103 W · 111 L | -13.9wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Kypson | 64c | 231.6$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.01 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x839a…e59cbacked Kypson | 58c | 222$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.24 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -4.5wins | -0.26per pick | 67cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb38c…b2c9backed Kozlov | 31c | 199$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.69 | 380 | 48.4%184 W · 196 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Kypson | 67c | 186.65$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.65 | 1,062 | 42%446 W · 616 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9aa…67e1backed Kozlov | 33c | 180.83$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.68 | 99 | 50.5%50 W · 49 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a32…9875backed Kypson | 65c | 178$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.17 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f97…a9b3backed Kozlov | 17c | 168.68$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 262 | 27.9%73 W · 189 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76ca…6a3abacked Kozlov | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Kozlov | 32c | 162.26$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.3 | 1,973 | 46.3%914 W · 1,059 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b9…948abacked Kypson | 75c | 143.77$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.94 | 423 | 58.6%248 W · 175 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f3e…bb7abacked Kypson | 70c | 143.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.99 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Kypson | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 779 | 67.8%528 W · 251 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Kypson | 67c | 82.09$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.09 | 2,418 | 51.7%1,249 W · 1,169 L | +10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f6…a5eebacked Kypson | 67c | 74.16$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.54 | 599 | 54.9%329 W · 270 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Kozlov | 23c | 72.04$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xe519…4cbebacked Kypson | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 40 | 72.5%29 W · 11 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 67cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Kozlov | 28c | 67.9$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.88 | 430 | 58.6%252 W · 178 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7353…a4f0backed Kozlov | 30c | 66.06$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 540 | 50.4%272 W · 268 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Kypson | 78c | 57.09$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.56 | 925 | 48.8%451 W · 474 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe901…3139backed Kozlov | 26c | 55.23$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 238 | 32.4%77 W · 161 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -24%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Kozlov | 30c | 51.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.34 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5425…8b3abacked Kypson | 61c | 49.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.18 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fab…708bbacked Kypson | 56c | 42.86$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.86 | 1,276 | 30.4%388 W · 888 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e6c…1c75backed Kypson | 71c | 42.27$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 73 | 74%54 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 72cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x983a…ac6bbacked Kypson | 67c | 42$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.86 | 138 | 47.8%66 W · 72 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31e5…e2a2backed Kypson | 56c | 42$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.48 | 197 | 62.9%124 W · 73 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Kozlov | 29c | 37.89$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.99 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Kypson | 67c | 26$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.58 | 1,218 | 41.1%500 W · 718 L | -30.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ac…5e19backed Kypson | 79c | 20.8$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.37 | 219 | 57.1%125 W · 94 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…af90backed Kypson | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.55 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Kypson | 70c | 17.14$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.14 | 580 | 67.8%393 W · 187 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77f8…f29cbacked Kypson | 71c | 16.13$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8eb7…d529backed Kypson | 69c | 15.22$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.72 | 195 | 50.8%99 W · 96 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0f…48fdbacked Kypson | 71c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.35 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.