Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Kayserispor win on 2026-01-24?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x34455f329118af767f365036110f67ee1c009ed862e4fbb5c640ad5b9c312e14
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,511
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,939
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,511 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd035…f165backed Yes | 11c | 1,250$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.49 | 89 | 28.1%25 W · 64 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 5c | 803.55$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.18 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x466f…bb3bbacked Yes | 21c | 660.17$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 48 | 18.8%9 W · 39 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 8c | 529.72$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.67 | 648 | 42%272 W · 376 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 25c | 395.11$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.83 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 73c | 363$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.01 | 511 | 40.9%209 W · 302 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ee2…8a14backed Yes | 28c | 303.04$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.85 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Yes | 30c | 294$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.2 | 268 | 53.7%144 W · 124 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe889…d0c3backed Yes | 35c | 283.06$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6aa…8882backed Yes | 31c | 176.87$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.83 | 47 | 14.9%7 W · 40 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x61bb…5854backed Yes | 29c | 142.2$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.26 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked No | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -5.2wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xed3f…0ab8backed No | 72c | 115$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.2 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50fc…ba9abacked No | 72c | 107$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.96 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf572…065abacked No | 72c | 90$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Yes | 21c | 89$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.37 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 71c | 78.03$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.31 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 69c | 75.9$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.42 | 940 | 43.7%411 W · 529 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65ea…223fbacked No | 72c | 73$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.44 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 26c | 72.2$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.77 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9318…a645backed No | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 70c | 67.2$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.18 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32d6…844bbacked No | 72c | 64$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.92 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x711d…fe4bbacked Yes | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2a…3daebacked Yes | 29c | 41.38$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Kayserispor win on 2026-01-24?this page
- Will Kayserispor vs. Rams Başakşehir FK end in a draw?No won
- Will Rams Başakşehir FK win on 2026-01-24?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.