Euroleague · resolved market
Barcelona vs. Real Madrid
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x34638b1bc17fe7a736dc28fa355bc81c90ee0b9e48c446406b108db7da0e54b1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Real Madridof Barcelona, Real Madrid
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,437
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,152
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,437 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2129…4222backed Barcelona | 12c | 2,541$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.65 | 65 | 35.4%23 W · 42 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -17%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Barcelona | 51c | 1,138$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580.02 | 275 | 57.5%158 W · 117 L | +12.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8191…8a35backed Real Madrid | 70c | 1,080$756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Barcelona | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefbd…65fabacked Barcelona | 51c | 855.59$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.99 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4919…0c56backed Real Madrid | 49c | 619.33$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Real Madrid | 78c | 479.02$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.14 | 343 | 44.3%152 W · 191 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5061…1b03backed Barcelona | 12c | 389.63$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.92 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7180…bdbabacked Real Madrid | 49c | 203.17$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.17 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ef…9e7abacked Real Madrid | 50c | 195.54$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.77 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf332…3c89backed Barcelona | 53c | 187.87$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Barcelona | 40c | 135.56$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 56 | 30.4%17 W · 39 L | -5.3wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x110d…cd01backed Real Madrid | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Real Madrid | 48c | 79.08$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.86 | 314 | 46.2%145 W · 169 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f30…ed96backed Real Madrid | 50c | 76$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x65d3…d153backed Barcelona | 51c | 74.99$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc6…0f52backed Real Madrid | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6149…8a58backed Real Madrid | 46c | 55.56$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +71.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06eb…1a5fbacked Real Madrid | 77c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 30 | 73.3%22 W · 8 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 65cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed Barcelona | 51c | 25.98$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +4.5wins | +0.11per pick | 36cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfb48…a0b8backed Real Madrid | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.