Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Le-Moyne vs. Central Connecticut
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3470fe8c7f4907e92fc0396abe690ebcc91bffa86dcaa291c7a52e8f9033c734
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Central Connecticutof Le-Moyne, Central Connecticut
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,744
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,398
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,744 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Central Connecticut | 70c | 645$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.46 | 205 | 48.8%100 W · 105 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Le-Moyne | 5c | 292$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 290 | 12.1%35 W · 255 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x384f…e077backed Le-Moyne | 22c | 223$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.06 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c3b…9977backed Le-Moyne | 13c | 179$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.27 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c8…6464backed Central Connecticut | 50c | 164$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +62.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3363…77aebacked Le-Moyne | 13c | 156$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.28 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2409…0dadbacked Le-Moyne | 15c | 145$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.75 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c6f…5cd0backed Le-Moyne | 13c | 137$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.81 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73e9…59d9backed Le-Moyne | 11c | 125$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55e4…de70backed Le-Moyne | 23c | 104$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.92 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6140…50d2backed Central Connecticut | 78c | 103$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.66 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 62cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8cf…c46cbacked Le-Moyne | 15c | 99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b75…f94dbacked Le-Moyne | 15c | 95$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc178…1a40backed Le-Moyne | 22c | 94$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a23…a94fbacked Le-Moyne | 13c | 93$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.09 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.29per pick | 47cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ecb…5475backed Central Connecticut | 53c | 78$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.66 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85f9…95d1backed Central Connecticut | 78c | 76$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0df2…1541backed Central Connecticut | 77c | 69$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.87 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 66cpaid | +57.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x486a…5af9backed Central Connecticut | 78c | 69$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.18 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa672…34f4backed Central Connecticut | 78c | 64$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.08 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x796a…271abacked Le-Moyne | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1367…0085backed Le-Moyne | 41c | 59$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.19 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 51cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1f…4b9abacked Le-Moyne | 50c | 52$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51b0…55c3backed Le-Moyne | 50c | 52$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffd6…ff4bbacked Central Connecticut | 60c | 47$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 67cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9503…0033backed Le-Moyne | 41c | 45$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.45 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec50…1401backed Central Connecticut | 60c | 43$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bcb…368fbacked Le-Moyne | 47c | 42$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4990…cf16backed Le-Moyne | 40c | 41$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x460e…561bbacked Le-Moyne | 40c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b80…8c32backed Central Connecticut | 59c | 36$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.76 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1362…e61bbacked Le-Moyne | 38c | 35$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8d…5752backed Central Connecticut | 77c | 35$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cd4…38e0backed Le-Moyne | 40c | 34$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.19per pick | 43cpaid | -49%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x258e…2149backed Le-Moyne | 38c | 32$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9851…3bd3backed Le-Moyne | 47c | 31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa246…7589backed Le-Moyne | 47c | 29$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.63 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +22%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd219…5200backed Le-Moyne | 47c | 29$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.63 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd07…4001backed Central Connecticut | 53c | 29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7812…21d8backed Central Connecticut | 59c | 28$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f92…6a9fbacked Le-Moyne | 47c | 28$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc364…79f4backed Central Connecticut | 53c | 26$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5839…2f15backed Central Connecticut | 59c | 26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc318…6959backed Central Connecticut | 59c | 26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.66 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fdd…07f5backed Central Connecticut | 53c | 26$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa213…d9a1backed Central Connecticut | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x524a…5236backed Central Connecticut | 62c | 24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.12 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4b0…087fbacked Central Connecticut | 62c | 22$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.36 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +80.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa243…1e5ebacked Central Connecticut | 62c | 21$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2f5…9accbacked Central Connecticut | 62c | 21$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.98 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 68cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.