Asian League · resolved market
Al Riyadh Saudi Club vs. Al Hilal Saudi Club: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3486b93799077d15d392bdeea8a3006e80d5876bcb72df5448d9646613430a2b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,328
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,932
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,328 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7e33…1482backed Over | 53c | 4,300$2,279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,278.98 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 43cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 47c | 2,170$1,027 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,142.09 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 46c | 1,283$592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690.41 | 1,309 | 56.8%743 W · 566 L | +66.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ff7…3a9dbacked Under | 47c | 1,230$578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$651.79 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 42c | 797.67$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.4 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2496…50a5backed Over | 57c | 792.74$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 45c | 683.55$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.54 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Over | 49c | 561.59$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.99 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Under | 28c | 454.51$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.25 | 239 | 27.2%65 W · 174 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 71c | 334$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.04 | 99 | 58.6%58 W · 41 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd260…b480backed Over | 48c | 240$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98cd…9417backed Over | 71c | 180$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.8 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0068…1b85backed Over | 63c | 156.78$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.62 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Over | 65c | 155$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.75 | 126 | 59.5%75 W · 51 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6c2…ba6ebacked Over | 38c | 102$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 45c | 98.58$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.96 | 626 | 52.6%329 W · 297 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8a…1fb3backed Over | 59c | 97.35$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b89…3380backed Over | 43c | 93.02$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Over | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 82 | 54.9%45 W · 37 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over | 42c | 83.66$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.25 | 121 | 46.3%56 W · 65 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 137 | 43.8%60 W · 77 L | -11.8wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 76c | 65.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 116 | 61.2%71 W · 45 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe7…6ab1backed Under | 50c | 55.54$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.7 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +89.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.19 | 693 | 52.2%362 W · 331 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9310…5e55backed Over | 35c | 46$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd6d…c504backed Under | 62c | 45.16$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.16 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Under | 27c | 40.68$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.7 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1f…f5eabacked Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 64 | 31.3%20 W · 44 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 65c | 38.26$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 276 | 39.5%109 W · 167 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a9…8000backed Over | 73c | 36.58$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.7 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…8528backed Over | 53c | 35.47$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.7 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4215…f03abacked Over | 47c | 34.34$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.03 | 91 | 47.3%43 W · 48 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Al Riyadh Saudi Club vs. Al Hilal Saudi Club: O/U 2.5this page
- Al Riyadh Saudi Club vs. Al Hilal Saudi Club: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Al Riyadh Saudi Club vs. Al Hilal Saudi Club: O/U 1.5Over won
- Al Riyadh Saudi Club vs. Al Hilal Saudi Club: O/U 3.5Under won
- Al Riyadh Saudi Club vs. Al Hilal Saudi Club: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.