F1 · resolved market
Will there be a safety car during the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3581e9046959e0deeddc4fa12a5d46af00e319bde0520dd4f817ee0fe1dad883
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- F1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,638
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,759
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,638 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in F1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in F1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x826e…2bebbacked No | 27c | 505.66$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ba…8619backed No | 44c | 400$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecd3…8289backed Yes | 78c | 385.89$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.89 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -3.0wins | -0.21per pick | 64cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaaad…c739backed No | 25c | 368.66$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5159…d7aebacked No | 18c | 305.02$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.58 | 79 | 55.7%44 W · 35 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8f6…4f7fbacked Yes | 75c | 304.99$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.25 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +2.5wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +80.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2461…f240backed Yes | 73c | 282.56$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.59 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e12…0ea4backed Yes | 73c | 220$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.4 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Yes | 55c | 155.44$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.4 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa8…026dbacked Yes | 80c | 125.69$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.69 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 33cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked No | 24c | 125$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 116 | 37.9%44 W · 72 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3de2…d073backed No | 20c | 105.67$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.89 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -63.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dd…345cbacked No | 27c | 103.7$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cea…ffd2backed No | 33c | 74.84$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.06 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd924…aff0backed Yes | 79c | 73.46$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3607…c427backed Yes | 75c | 53.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x103f…3150backed Yes | 79c | 50.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc21c…5803backed No | 21c | 49.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +215.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8205…5067backed Yes | 79c | 43.04$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.04 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +54.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7dda…5cbbbacked Yes | 39c | 29.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +154.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x947c…9a5cbacked Yes | 79c | 28.72$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.03 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 28cpaid | -78.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x704d…aceebacked Yes | 72c | 25.99$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.28 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba9f…87acbacked Yes | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa58c…56e3backed Yes | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -3.4wins | -0.24per pick | 67cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xddc3…000bbacked Yes | 79c | 15.19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.19 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd297…5ac6backed Yes | 78c | 14.1$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.1 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +111.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 73c | 13.97$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.77 | 63 | 25.4%16 W · 47 L | -8.9wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in F1 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.