CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Eternal Fire Academy vs MANA eSports (BO3)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x35a9cbfe0ff10ada14755bac4dca670258e79e71646f86eecf16e01d530df919
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- MANA eSportsof Eternal Fire Academy, MANA eSports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,669
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,351
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,669 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x281f…b7b5backed Eternal Fire Academy | 19c | 1,740$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.6 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked MANA eSports | 74c | 1,448$1,071 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.36 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a0b…c8acbacked Eternal Fire Academy | 20c | 1,149$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +61.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36cb…bdcdbacked Eternal Fire Academy | 19c | 1,053$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.07 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -31%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x920d…38adbacked Eternal Fire Academy | 25c | 1,023$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x92d5…cb83backed MANA eSports | 80c | 984$787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0097…8401backed Eternal Fire Academy | 19c | 796$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.24 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 34cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5564…ae03backed Eternal Fire Academy | 20c | 780$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Eternal Fire Academy | 25c | 714.86$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.57 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed Eternal Fire Academy | 21c | 682.76$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.14 | 972 | 30%292 W · 680 L | -23.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83f4…f91ebacked Eternal Fire Academy | 20c | 675$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd46c…4468backed Eternal Fire Academy | 20c | 649$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfec1…cb69backed Eternal Fire Academy | 20c | 591$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97b5…b7cfbacked MANA eSports | 80c | 570$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d13…a448backed MANA eSports | 80c | 560$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82a7…9ea8backed Eternal Fire Academy | 18c | 555.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x653e…bbc0backed MANA eSports | 75c | 528.79$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.2 | 387 | 39.5%153 W · 234 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc86…f1a6backed Eternal Fire Academy | 19c | 492$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.48 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +51.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa541…79efbacked Eternal Fire Academy | 19c | 453$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.07 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa23d…8eaebacked MANA eSports | 80c | 397$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b3…a026backed MANA eSports | 80c | 392$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.4 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.36per pick | 61cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed Eternal Fire Academy | 19c | 319.96$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.79 | 970 | 40.7%395 W · 575 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Eternal Fire Academy | 26c | 312.69$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2294…4cd3backed MANA eSports | 79c | 275.3$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.77 | 164 | 50.6%83 W · 81 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Eternal Fire Academy | 18c | 272.29$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.01 | 298 | 55%164 W · 134 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4afc…82f6backed MANA eSports | 80c | 257$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb1…38adbacked Eternal Fire Academy | 4c | 251.11$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.11 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 22cpaid | +348%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x991c…5f1bbacked MANA eSports | 80c | 220$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc406…04bebacked MANA eSports | 80c | 194$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.8 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.8wins | +0.47per pick | 37cpaid | +137.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb75e…1737backed Eternal Fire Academy | 26c | 184.62$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 229 | 42.8%98 W · 131 L | -9.7wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf12e…ca08backed MANA eSports | 80c | 165$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +106.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ef2…2bcebacked Eternal Fire Academy | 19c | 160$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5425…b1acbacked Eternal Fire Academy | 19c | 160$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6117…48bfbacked Eternal Fire Academy | 19c | 160$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfb…6a40backed Eternal Fire Academy | 19c | 160$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb24…c42cbacked Eternal Fire Academy | 19c | 160$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7585…e77ebacked Eternal Fire Academy | 19c | 150$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Eternal Fire Academy | 21c | 150$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 1,181 | 22.5%266 W · 915 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0fd…bca6backed Eternal Fire Academy | 19c | 150$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf4a…eee7backed Eternal Fire Academy | 19c | 150$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99ee…cec7backed Eternal Fire Academy | 19c | 150$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Eternal Fire Academy | 20c | 126.62$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.49 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x521f…3344backed MANA eSports | 80c | 125.75$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.75 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | -6.2wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x563e…3392backed MANA eSports | 80c | 105$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72ea…d4f2backed Eternal Fire Academy | 20c | 102.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44bf…6bfcbacked Eternal Fire Academy | 15c | 101.97$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd8…4622backed Eternal Fire Academy | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 40cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d2e…bfa2backed Eternal Fire Academy | 11c | 98.3$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.77 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5cc…0540backed Eternal Fire Academy | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2eb…e530backed Eternal Fire Academy | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked MANA eSports | 79c | 75.05$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.67 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a5…c602backed Eternal Fire Academy | 20c | 65.75$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.15 | 332 | 37%123 W · 209 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked MANA eSports | 75c | 38.59$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.65 | 91 | 41.8%38 W · 53 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10e4…4113backed MANA eSports | 78c | 34.62$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.62 | 27 | 74.1%20 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f3d…95b1backed MANA eSports | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 64 | 29.7%19 W · 45 L | -8.4wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Eternal Fire Academy vs MANA eSports (BO3)this page
- Counter-Strike: Eternal Fire Academy vs MANA eSports - Map 1 WinnerMANA eSports won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.