Euroleague · resolved market
Anadolu Efes vs. Fenerbahce
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x35c47a80cf542da660e089f7c3a9e606390881e8a373e749d88ddf6e934a798c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Fenerbahceof Anadolu Efes, Fenerbahce
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,276
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,611
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,276 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x511a…9745backed Anadolu Efes | 71c | 1,399$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | -4.4wins | -0.13per pick | 73cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Fenerbahce | 33c | 895.04$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$601.89 | 65 | 35.4%23 W · 42 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -17%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e3a…265ebacked Fenerbahce | 53c | 358.98$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.1 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ef…9e7abacked Anadolu Efes | 55c | 272.4$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd99…f375backed Fenerbahce | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +4.0wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Anadolu Efes | 51c | 196.88$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.31 | 275 | 57.5%158 W · 117 L | +12.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Fenerbahce | 37c | 150$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.68 | 343 | 44.3%152 W · 191 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c54…da75backed Fenerbahce | 46c | 114.8$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.93 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +86.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd14a…e912backed Anadolu Efes | 47c | 75.47$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.47 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f30…ed96backed Fenerbahce | 49c | 55.1$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.1 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21b2…b602backed Anadolu Efes | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b6…48cabacked Fenerbahce | 49c | 42.86$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.86 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa1e…75cabacked Fenerbahce | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e0e…1512backed Anadolu Efes | 54c | 38.83$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.9 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd824…8d96backed Anadolu Efes | 43c | 30.44$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.96 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Fenerbahce | 47c | 28$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.84 | 314 | 46.2%145 W · 169 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5d4…4e15backed Fenerbahce | 49c | 23.38$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc65…19a0backed Anadolu Efes | 51c | 20.41$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.41 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -49%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc32e…203dbacked Fenerbahce | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7d1…4cb7backed Fenerbahce | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 57cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Anadolu Efes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 71 | 39.4%28 W · 43 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f30…b321backed Anadolu Efes | 54c | 19.09$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.