Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Niagara vs. Saint Peter's
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x35c49ac24ac4323e19b5b0e93a61038e6c45e635ba620ebb9c5e157f41b9325a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Niagaraof Niagara, Saint Peter's
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,534
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,531
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,534 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf12b…51cabacked Saint Peter's | 50c | 294$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +119.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bcb…0b9fbacked Saint Peter's | 50c | 96$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -51%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc062…6118backed Niagara | 27c | 88$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.24 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.62per pick | 39cpaid | +185.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x431e…1ce6backed Niagara | 27c | 78$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.94 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 37cpaid | +104.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3e…754fbacked Niagara | 27c | 65$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.45 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.57per pick | 44cpaid | +168.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82be…04f2backed Saint Peter's | 73c | 55$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c55…029dbacked Niagara | 50c | 53$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb27b…1bccbacked Niagara | 50c | 49$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa378…b8c5backed Saint Peter's | 50c | 44$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Niagara | 35c | 44$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.6 | 348 | 42.8%149 W · 199 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88ad…4622backed Saint Peter's | 73c | 43$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.39 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 60cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked Saint Peter's | 65c | 42.46$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 55 | 70.9%39 W · 16 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b6…c557backed Niagara | 50c | 38$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50d9…b2a0backed Niagara | 50c | 37$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 60cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x355e…8e45backed Saint Peter's | 73c | 36$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.28 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b9…397cbacked Saint Peter's | 73c | 35$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.55 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c5…ffb2backed Saint Peter's | 73c | 34$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.82 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.5wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8c6c…c034backed Niagara | 50c | 32$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 50cpaid | +102%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe45c…3f7abacked Niagara | 50c | 31$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42a3…f21ebacked Niagara | 50c | 31$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e78…4886backed Niagara | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 59cpaid | +74.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9a0…e751backed Niagara | 50c | 29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab8…fb00backed Niagara | 50c | 29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a70…ce6cbacked Niagara | 50c | 28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc5…bddabacked Saint Peter's | 50c | 28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd2c…cd3cbacked Niagara | 50c | 28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +113.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb31a…de2abacked Saint Peter's | 73c | 28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.44 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 77cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d7e…cf7abacked Niagara | 50c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe723…50e5backed Saint Peter's | 50c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff3c…6c22backed Niagara | 50c | 21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.