Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Army vs. Lafayette
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x36301f1c4f76dc6042cbb8ea1075c55698a58778b0f16127cfeeb899a9188b83
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lafayetteof Army, Lafayette
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,149
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,149
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,149 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1080…392ebacked Lafayette | 50c | 285$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 65cpaid | +63.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe972…62bbbacked Army | 50c | 242$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0bad…1e4cbacked Lafayette | 61c | 206$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.34 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6590…fb8abacked Army | 39c | 180$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.2 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75db…2098backed Lafayette | 61c | 175$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.25 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba49…f9b9backed Army | 39c | 175$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0da3…edbbbacked Lafayette | 62c | 133$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.54 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +80.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x465a…e34fbacked Lafayette | 61c | 117$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.63 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf7…0716backed Army | 38c | 95$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fe…dba6backed Lafayette | 50c | 89$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.5 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…36e2backed Army | 38c | 77$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.26 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6695…78f0backed Army | 39c | 76$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…23abbacked Army | 39c | 75$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.25 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -50%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9748…2061backed Lafayette | 50c | 72$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b8…ef49backed Lafayette | 62c | 71$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.98 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +87.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6055…1cf6backed Lafayette | 61c | 70$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.3 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…2c06backed Army | 38c | 69$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.22 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a5…6638backed Army | 38c | 65$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6841…154cbacked Army | 38c | 62$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73d6…c99bbacked Lafayette | 62c | 56$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.28 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1328…e46ebacked Army | 39c | 54$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.06 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaadd…4ea2backed Lafayette | 50c | 52$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd97…ea8bbacked Army | 37c | 49$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.13 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd45d…933ebacked Army | 38c | 48$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.24 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58fa…f937backed Lafayette | 63c | 48$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.76 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +51%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bb1…a224backed Lafayette | 62c | 46$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5538…8bcfbacked Army | 38c | 44$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.72 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0f…1e24backed Lafayette | 62c | 42$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x460f…8d1cbacked Lafayette | 62c | 40$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.2 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06c6…7494backed Army | 50c | 39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.33per pick | 42cpaid | +293.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0059…fb24backed Lafayette | 62c | 39$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.82 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 53cpaid | +96.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…c595backed Army | 39c | 39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.21 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8566…208bbacked Lafayette | 50c | 39$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb283…b674backed Army | 38c | 36$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.68 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdced…daeabacked Army | 50c | 35$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2f6…8be5backed Army | 39c | 33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.87 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58dc…8060backed Army | 38c | 31$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.78 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -50%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Army | 35c | 30.77$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.77 | 348 | 42.8%149 W · 199 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16e6…1c52backed Lafayette | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 96 | 58.3%56 W · 40 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f74…c430backed Army | 50c | 28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bb3…8b6dbacked Army | 50c | 28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea6e…3ae6backed Lafayette | 62c | 28$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.64 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -14%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29b3…0330backed Army | 50c | 26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbcec…d792backed Army | 50c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe177…66fabacked Lafayette | 62c | 24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.12 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +76.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc757…65f7backed Lafayette | 61c | 23$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.97 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf269…630bbacked Lafayette | 61c | 22$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.58 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1387…61afbacked Lafayette | 62c | 21$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c09…9461backed Army | 50c | 21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa77f…169fbacked Lafayette | 62c | 19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3936…e2a2backed Lafayette | 62c | 19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x292b…2676backed Lafayette | 63c | 18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.66 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37a8…2fe7backed Lafayette | 62c | 17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.46 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 70cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.