Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Boston Terriers (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x364537f57832324aa649aed8767f656527f9259818f24cb16c2b2a3e0e164c9e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lehigh Mountain Hawksof Boston Terriers, Lehigh Mountain Hawks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,617
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,617 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Lehigh Mountain Hawks | 65c | 1,283$830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.09 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0b…3790backed Boston Terriers | 27c | 731.26$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.27 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.37per pick | 13cpaid | +775%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Lehigh Mountain Hawks | 58c | 261.67$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.34 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Lehigh Mountain Hawks | 49c | 234.39$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.65 | 1,234 | 44.8%553 W · 681 L | -32.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed Boston Terriers | 54c | 220.53$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.96 | 162 | 53.1%86 W · 76 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa528…2499backed Boston Terriers | 49c | 143.07$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.51 | 293 | 37.2%109 W · 184 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Boston Terriers | 48c | 138.01$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.86 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1480…6e8dbacked Boston Terriers | 55c | 128.87$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.88 | 314 | 48.7%153 W · 161 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e7…fef1backed Boston Terriers | 30c | 94.18$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.61 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -7.4wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Boston Terriers | 55c | 90.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a0…d84fbacked Boston Terriers | 30c | 87.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.73 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x277c…e529backed Boston Terriers | 54c | 54.91$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.65 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf8f…8bbabacked Boston Terriers | 27c | 52.65$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.15 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Boston Terriers | 41c | 47$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.07 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfca…2db8backed Boston Terriers | 28c | 39.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Lehigh Mountain Hawks | 52c | 37.65$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.07 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Lehigh Mountain Hawks | 45c | 32.58$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.85 | 220 | 47.7%105 W · 115 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce8…2f9ebacked Lehigh Mountain Hawks | 46c | 25.77$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.79 | 306 | 52%159 W · 147 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Lehigh Mountain Hawks | 68c | 24.99$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 848 | 54.5%462 W · 386 L | +32.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Boston Terriers | 50c | 21.14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.57 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda4f…77e9backed Lehigh Mountain Hawks | 50c | 20.96$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.48 | 93 | 53.8%50 W · 43 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Lehigh Mountain Hawks | 70c | 14.76$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.36 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Boston Terriers (-1.5)this page
- Boston Terriers vs. Lehigh Mountain HawksLehigh Mountain Hawks won
- Boston Terriers vs. Lehigh Mountain Hawks: O/U 137.5Under won
- Boston Terriers vs. Lehigh Mountain Hawks: O/U 138.5Under won
- Boston Terriers vs. Lehigh Mountain Hawks: O/U 139.5Under won
- Spread: Boston Terriers (-2.5)Lehigh Mountain Hawks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.