Tennis · resolved market
Yokkaichi: Kasidit Samrej vs Paul Jubb
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x365158e0d6f3dec107e580558cce139ef954bd5cd528d859f45d8c45b99316a0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Paul Jubbof Kasidit Samrej, Paul Jubb
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,822
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,822 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8bc2…4c80backed Paul Jubb | 78c | 1,282$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.32 | 464 | 73.3%340 W · 124 L | +27.0wins | +0.06per pick | 67cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Kasidit Samrej | 15c | 922.67$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.82 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Paul Jubb | 72c | 794.49$575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.59 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x223f…2050backed Kasidit Samrej | 31c | 597.97$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.37 | 507 | 31.2%158 W · 349 L | -41.2wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Kasidit Samrej | 40c | 341.55$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.32 | 1,258 | 50%629 W · 629 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Kasidit Samrej | 33c | 300$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 586 | 39.6%232 W · 354 L | -21.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed Kasidit Samrej | 32c | 244.68$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.3 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Kasidit Samrej | 27c | 208.33$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.45 | 363 | 33.9%123 W · 240 L | -12.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Kasidit Samrej | 35c | 195.75$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.46 | 1,265 | 29.2%370 W · 895 L | -13.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Kasidit Samrej | 27c | 176.96$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Kasidit Samrej | 10c | 164.9$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.14 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f3…f7dfbacked Paul Jubb | 69c | 145$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.95 | 382 | 68.1%260 W · 122 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb69…c3e5backed Paul Jubb | 68c | 140$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.8 | 1,076 | 55.5%597 W · 479 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Kasidit Samrej | 31c | 136.42$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.29 | 251 | 34.3%86 W · 165 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c56…0615backed Kasidit Samrej | 29c | 125.76$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 594 | 40.2%239 W · 355 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x150c…add3backed Paul Jubb | 69c | 115.94$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.94 | 206 | 70.4%145 W · 61 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd68e…8048backed Paul Jubb | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 412 | 72.8%300 W · 112 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 71cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Kasidit Samrej | 31c | 94.3$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.23 | 1,284 | 39.2%503 W · 781 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…d2b5backed Paul Jubb | 69c | 75.61$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.44 | 416 | 68%283 W · 133 L | +23.6wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6836…049ebacked Paul Jubb | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Paul Jubb | 75c | 71.96$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.87 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Kasidit Samrej | 31c | 51.24$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.98 | 1,973 | 46.3%914 W · 1,059 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Kasidit Samrej | 32c | 37.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Paul Jubb | 73c | 32.89$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.79 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d9…3be3backed Paul Jubb | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 164 | 59.8%98 W · 66 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Paul Jubb | 61c | 24.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 572 | 52.3%299 W · 273 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb21b…c396backed Paul Jubb | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 53 | 77.4%41 W · 12 L | +7.5wins | +0.14per pick | 63cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Paul Jubb | 68c | 18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.76 | 1,794 | 60.2%1,080 W · 714 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.