Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Kennesaw State vs. Florida International
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x367718e9ef51b6a42e8e7125e38da3bfa04d6d41eccbc7cdbdbf446117b5d8fb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Florida Internationalof Kennesaw State, Florida International
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $948
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $948
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $948 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7260…6fd5backed Kennesaw State | 63c | 181$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x766b…7811backed Kennesaw State | 65c | 165$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd37…e8d1backed Florida International | 35c | 151$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff6f…a3bfbacked Florida International | 37c | 141$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.83 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10d7…93b4backed Kennesaw State | 64c | 85.52$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.73 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 74cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Florida International | 36c | 85.52$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.73 | 283 | 35%99 W · 184 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5998…aa9cbacked Florida International | 35c | 77$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb41e…3301backed Florida International | 37c | 59$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a2…cc8cbacked Florida International | 50c | 36$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ae9…42adbacked Florida International | 35c | 36$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb0…73edbacked Kennesaw State | 50c | 35$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5657…1bc4backed Kennesaw State | 50c | 35$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8502…f61abacked Florida International | 37c | 32$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.16 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe81…8ccfbacked Kennesaw State | 62c | 31$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8479…a0e7backed Florida International | 38c | 31$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe393…9f39backed Florida International | 50c | 31$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc017…dca4backed Florida International | 50c | 31$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +82%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0439…3802backed Kennesaw State | 63c | 27$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc230…37edbacked Kennesaw State | 65c | 26$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e7b…464bbacked Kennesaw State | 50c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x216c…e0eabacked Florida International | 50c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb011…bd2fbacked Kennesaw State | 63c | 24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x637b…0745backed Kennesaw State | 65c | 23$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb795…758bbacked Florida International | 50c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +76.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa732…aff8backed Kennesaw State | 65c | 22$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62c9…a8f0backed Kennesaw State | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf259…6dc6backed Kennesaw State | 65c | 16$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.