Lol · resolved market
LoL: Dragons Esports vs 3BL Esports (BO3)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x36df1d5943e438839f59534807d9485512fc4079b03218b6e5a0e64118c8fee5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Dragons Esportsof Dragons Esports, 3BL Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,204
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,777
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,204 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked 3BL Esports | 17c | 3,400$592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$592.17 | 132 | 59.1%78 W · 54 L | +10.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x13c6…ff7dbacked 3BL Esports | 5c | 1,900$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.88 | 230 | 23%53 W · 177 L | -19.5wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4840…41f3backed 3BL Esports | 2c | 1,623$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.44 | 62 | 3.2%2 W · 60 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -77.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6a…04ebbacked Dragons Esports | 80c | 1,435$1,148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287 | 486 | 52.1%253 W · 233 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd94…6b1ebacked 3BL Esports | 20c | 1,335$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267 | 840 | 41%344 W · 496 L | -38.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed 3BL Esports | 17c | 513.67$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.32 | 541 | 29.9%162 W · 379 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed 3BL Esports | 14c | 489.65$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.53 | 152 | 32.2%49 W · 103 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed 3BL Esports | 21c | 300$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.17 | 1,806 | 39.1%707 W · 1,099 L | -30.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked 3BL Esports | 16c | 199.98$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 390 | 44.9%175 W · 215 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb81d…c6c0backed Dragons Esports | 80c | 106$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.2 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Dragons Esports | 72c | 103.57$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 697 | 56.5%394 W · 303 L | +26.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7a0…05c4backed 3BL Esports | 28c | 103.57$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 350 | 35.1%123 W · 227 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7fc…1511backed 3BL Esports | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d72…8e62backed 3BL Esports | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 39 | 17.9%7 W · 32 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed 3BL Esports | 18c | 80.32$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.46 | 441 | 28.1%124 W · 317 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3da1…c13bbacked 3BL Esports | 18c | 60$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 109 | 47.7%52 W · 57 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28a2…91a4backed Dragons Esports | 75c | 53$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.25 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Dragons Esports | 79c | 37.92$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.05 | 1,224 | 48.3%591 W · 633 L | +26.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…cea7backed Dragons Esports | 79c | 29.55$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.21 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Dragons Esports vs 3BL Esports (BO3)this page
- LoL: Dragons Esports vs 3BL Esports - Game 1 WinnerDragons Esports won
- LoL: Dragons Esports vs 3BL Esports - Game 2 WinnerDragons Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.