Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Chicago State vs. Long Island University
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x37752e829241e0789a4b6edb6d6a0bdfa74cef0d2a1e204de8992c1233c1c35a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Long Island Universityof Chicago State, Long Island University
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,366
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,232
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,366 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Long Island University | 56c | 446$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.7 | 205 | 48.8%100 W · 105 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Chicago State | 10c | 315.14$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 290 | 12.1%35 W · 255 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77d0…b2f5backed Chicago State | 13c | 236$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.68 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed1b…560cbacked Chicago State | 14c | 191$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.74 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd84…b771backed Chicago State | 16c | 148$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d2a…8dfebacked Chicago State | 23c | 139$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa9…d819backed Long Island University | 77c | 120$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +203%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x313b…dd02backed Chicago State | 51c | 119$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.69 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f13…dd46backed Long Island University | 77c | 117$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.91 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +63%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca3c…ef7dbacked Chicago State | 13c | 113$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.69 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a5…5bcebacked Chicago State | 15c | 97$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3f9…6f2bbacked Chicago State | 14c | 89$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.46 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4029…7a5ebacked Chicago State | 52c | 87$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba8…c3a2backed Chicago State | 23c | 87$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.01 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -32%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8912…c61abacked Long Island University | 48c | 81$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.12 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.41per pick | 42cpaid | +98.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe921…e3ccbacked Chicago State | 23c | 76$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.48 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe125…9914backed Chicago State | 20c | 74$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77ab…56f1backed Chicago State | 15c | 73$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.95 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19d0…dbd9backed Chicago State | 16c | 67$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.72 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 40cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ba8…9984backed Chicago State | 23c | 66$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.18 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3051…1ff3backed Chicago State | 20c | 55$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +55.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbae0…a714backed Chicago State | 52c | 42$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a6…fee4backed Long Island University | 77c | 41$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.43 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +71.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47c4…82c4backed Long Island University | 49c | 35$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.85 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01bc…aba4backed Long Island University | 48c | 34$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.68 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +87.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd91…e0d6backed Long Island University | 49c | 33$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.83 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +90.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29c6…95cfbacked Long Island University | 77c | 32$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.36 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04ce…5af8backed Long Island University | 48c | 32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdf3…9bccbacked Long Island University | 49c | 32$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e6a…a7eebacked Chicago State | 51c | 32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.32 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e5…62c3backed Long Island University | 49c | 31$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.81 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4a7…7c07backed Chicago State | 52c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7472…650abacked Long Island University | 48c | 29$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.08 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6b3…080fbacked Long Island University | 49c | 29$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ec…2b53backed Chicago State | 51c | 29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.79 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59ce…00acbacked Chicago State | 52c | 28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa15d…aef0backed Long Island University | 80c | 27$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +138.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1cd4…38e0backed Long Island University | 49c | 27$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.77 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.19per pick | 43cpaid | -49%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x741c…69b3backed Chicago State | 51c | 27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7316…0f11backed Long Island University | 48c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.48 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +76.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd219…5200backed Long Island University | 77c | 22$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.06 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5c8…fcc3backed Long Island University | 80c | 21$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa134…e9edbacked Long Island University | 77c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.14 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 66cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c12…4ca6backed Long Island University | 77c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7215…0145backed Long Island University | 80c | 17$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6e…0816backed Long Island University | 80c | 17$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7035…e662backed Long Island University | 80c | 17$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9934…ba75backed Long Island University | 80c | 17$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 76cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa164…5169backed Long Island University | 80c | 17$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +62.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82e6…3ba7backed Long Island University | 80c | 16$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +62.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x353a…063bbacked Long Island University | 80c | 13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.