CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: TDK vs Oxuji Esports - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x379d808c59fd67eac7b082509d8ecd217ba0fbf9b716eb214b0793c546e9a359
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Oxuji Esportsof TDK, Oxuji Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,859
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,921
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,859 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xde8f…2c72backed TDK | 60c | 2,645$1,577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,576.65 | 280 | 56.4%158 W · 122 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Oxuji Esports | 45c | 2,045$923 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,121.21 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd83…7d7cbacked TDK | 35c | 549.14$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.2 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Oxuji Esports | 43c | 393.06$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.04 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Oxuji Esports | 43c | 308.82$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.5 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28b7…474fbacked Oxuji Esports | 68c | 288.47$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a73…a9c8backed TDK | 45c | 215.87$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.08 | 696 | 35.3%246 W · 450 L | -49.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x46dc…92c3backed Oxuji Esports | 51c | 169.51$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.38 | 61 | 60.7%37 W · 24 L | +7.0wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +22%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8d…febfbacked Oxuji Esports | 60c | 162.67$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.07 | 163 | 44.8%73 W · 90 L | -32.6wins | -0.20per pick | 65cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Oxuji Esports | 37c | 162.19$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.42 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed TDK | 29c | 143.85$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.71 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked Oxuji Esports | 69c | 142.23$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.09 | 1,043 | 57.3%598 W · 445 L | +17.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d83…c9b1backed TDK | 16c | 90.79$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.57 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…04fbbacked Oxuji Esports | 54c | 77.01$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed TDK | 31c | 76.19$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.62 | 169 | 35.5%60 W · 109 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Oxuji Esports | 58c | 65.67$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.4 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc55f…aaf9backed TDK | 37c | 61.59$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5625…6c2abacked TDK | 32c | 60.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.33 | 361 | 51.8%187 W · 174 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked Oxuji Esports | 49c | 56.89$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 445 | 63.8%284 W · 161 L | +19.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9901…e9b4backed TDK | 72c | 51.56$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.13 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57c8…3d9bbacked TDK | 65c | 50$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -5.0wins | -0.23per pick | 55cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed TDK | 52c | 48.39$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.16 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed TDK | 47c | 33.9$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.93 | 456 | 39.3%179 W · 277 L | -29.2wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked TDK | 33c | 31.94$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.68 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed TDK | 53c | 24.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.29 | 269 | 58.4%157 W · 112 L | +20.8wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x96b1…812bbacked Oxuji Esports | 47c | 24.11$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.85 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41f7…60cfbacked Oxuji Esports | 66c | 22.29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.63 | 80 | 38.8%31 W · 49 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -23%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Oxuji Esports | 56c | 21.68$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.57 | 472 | 60%283 W · 189 L | +31.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed Oxuji Esports | 74c | 21.01$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.46 | 644 | 39.8%256 W · 388 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb611…188fbacked TDK | 59c | 17.98$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.61 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Oxuji Esports | 69c | 17.14$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.31 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Oxuji Esports | 80c | 14.82$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.01 | 1,398 | 48.4%676 W · 722 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: TDK vs Oxuji Esports - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: TDK vs Oxuji Esports (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group StageTDK won
- Counter-Strike: TDK vs Oxuji Esports - Map 2 WinnerTDK won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.