Tennis · resolved market
ITF Litija: Ziga Sesko vs Theo Papamalamis
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x37e75504566502889e2b339762db051f2dba2b93c82dbdd1bb01f8124066df56
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ziga Seskoof Ziga Sesko, Theo Papamalamis
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,469
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,469
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,469 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd7b2…286ebacked Ziga Sesko | 50c | 288$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +114.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x57ba…c4f8backed Theo Papamalamis | 50c | 217$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb346…37f6backed Theo Papamalamis | 50c | 217$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x302d…5886backed Ziga Sesko | 50c | 157$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae8e…08f9backed Ziga Sesko | 49c | 99.99$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.99 | 116 | 53.4%62 W · 54 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61ee…b4d9backed Theo Papamalamis | 50c | 75$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x844c…865cbacked Ziga Sesko | 50c | 74$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x800a…1af9backed Theo Papamalamis | 50c | 63$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e8e…6461backed Theo Papamalamis | 51c | 60$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 76 | 57.9%44 W · 32 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76d4…c512backed Ziga Sesko | 49c | 59.86$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.25 | 67 | 32.8%22 W · 45 L | -5.7wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbe16…0621backed Ziga Sesko | 50c | 53$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Theo Papamalamis | 51c | 27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.77 | 1,794 | 60.2%1,080 W · 714 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Theo Papamalamis | 52c | 24.65$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.82 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Theo Papamalamis | 49c | 23.16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.35 | 1,240 | 41.2%511 W · 729 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb41e…db27backed Theo Papamalamis | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 130 | 50.8%66 W · 64 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.