CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Sangal vs 1WIN - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x38efaefa3d04ae17d2ada05cdf7761765abfa1674aa3a95332ec6adf9a4ef6b5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- 1WINof Sangal, 1WIN
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,739
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,217
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,739 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x97f2…d84fbacked 1WIN | 41c | 897.67$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.67 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | +6.5wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked 1WIN | 43c | 594.82$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.63 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked 1WIN | 61c | 367.6$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.67 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf332…3c89backed Sangal | 8c | 236.95$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb29…ea29backed 1WIN | 43c | 149.76$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.88 | 66 | 37.9%25 W · 41 L | -6.2wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Sangal | 16c | 94.9$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.15 | 291 | 28.5%83 W · 208 L | -30.2wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9a…4f72backed 1WIN | 62c | 56.14$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +60.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51b7…2fc7backed Sangal | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 434 | 42.2%183 W · 251 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Sangal | 46c | 45.96$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.11 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b4b…038abacked Sangal | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -4.4wins | -0.19per pick | 58cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed Sangal | 57c | 38.33$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.01 | 736 | 58.2%428 W · 308 L | -22.8wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74e2…89a5backed 1WIN | 76c | 34.44$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.24 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed 1WIN | 38c | 30.12$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.67 | 293 | 50.2%147 W · 146 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dde…b1aebacked Sangal | 41c | 27.59$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.28 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe4…f12fbacked Sangal | 57c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | -4.7wins | -0.12per pick | 68cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Sangal vs 1WIN - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Sangal vs 1WIN (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #13 Group Stage1WIN won
- Counter-Strike: Sangal vs 1WIN - Map 1 Winner1WIN won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.