Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: C9 (-1.5) vs FlyQuest (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3925979910f3de02ab2dfd9909b99c2dae754eee22c51dbfa0a620f2e6cd5733
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cloud9of Cloud9, FlyQuest
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,593
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,998
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,593 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8165…f688backed FlyQuest | 42c | 10,000$4,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,200 | 147 | 53.7%79 W · 68 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x437c…f458backed Cloud9 | 58c | 6,326$3,669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,656.76 | 262 | 46.6%122 W · 140 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked FlyQuest | 41c | 5,617$2,325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,325.28 | 1,259 | 37.6%473 W · 786 L | +34.1wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7645…3117backed Cloud9 | 59c | 4,933$2,890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,042.54 | 823 | 52.7%434 W · 389 L | +41.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xddd3…dba6backed Cloud9 | 58c | 3,631$2,106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,524.82 | 118 | 33.9%40 W · 78 L | -10.9wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed FlyQuest | 42c | 2,000$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 1,029 | 52.3%538 W · 491 L | +27.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b4…75a0backed Cloud9 | 58c | 1,284$744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.07 | 92 | 45.7%42 W · 50 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec4…6529backed FlyQuest | 43c | 623.09$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.61 | 131 | 36.6%48 W · 83 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Cloud9 | 57c | 599.98$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.99 | 1,609 | 48.4%779 W · 830 L | +24.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f4e…b690backed Cloud9 | 57c | 585.12$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.6 | 825 | 54.8%452 W · 373 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed FlyQuest | 41c | 514.1$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.7 | 1,827 | 45.6%834 W · 993 L | +26.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…46c2backed Cloud9 | 59c | 500$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205 | 403 | 47.4%191 W · 212 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0599…3c6abacked FlyQuest | 43c | 465.12$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 821 | 61%501 W · 320 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99fe…b61cbacked Cloud9 | 58c | 278$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.11 | 362 | 46.4%168 W · 194 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…2075backed Cloud9 | 58c | 260$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.2 | 270 | 50.7%137 W · 133 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93f4…ea90backed Cloud9 | 57c | 253.61$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.52 | 1,110 | 49%544 W · 566 L | +42.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Cloud9 | 56c | 229.95$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.18 | 93 | 41.9%39 W · 54 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Cloud9 | 58c | 217.5$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.42 | 1,599 | 46.8%748 W · 851 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…583abacked Cloud9 | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1c…2a3ebacked Cloud9 | 60c | 166.71$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.71 | 168 | 51.2%86 W · 82 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c34…2d7dbacked FlyQuest | 44c | 129.32$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.9 | 139 | 40.3%56 W · 83 L | -9.6wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b2…4ab2backed FlyQuest | 43c | 120$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.6 | 664 | 45.6%303 W · 361 L | +14.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8688…a520backed Cloud9 | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 162 | 51.9%84 W · 78 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a2…b3cdbacked FlyQuest | 44c | 79.55$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 71 | 40.8%29 W · 42 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | 0%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae6e…b24fbacked Cloud9 | 61c | 70.93$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.66 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb003…d962backed Cloud9 | 58c | 59.98$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.19 | 791 | 51.8%410 W · 381 L | +15.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ecd…1da3backed FlyQuest | 42c | 59.52$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50f6…b8c6backed FlyQuest | 43c | 58.18$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed FlyQuest | 43c | 34.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.84 | 159 | 45.3%72 W · 87 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed FlyQuest | 42c | 34.4$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.45 | 441 | 28.1%124 W · 317 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5db0…73f1backed Cloud9 | 60c | 33.11$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.11 | 46 | 60.9%28 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Cloud9 | 58c | 24.49$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.29 | 1,224 | 48.3%591 W · 633 L | +26.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba7e…ae58backed Cloud9 | 60c | 19.33$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: C9 (-1.5) vs FlyQuest (+1.5)this page
- Game Handicap: C9 (-2.5) vs FlyQuest (+2.5)Cloud9 won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Under won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Under won
- LoL: Cloud9 vs FlyQuest (BO5) - LCS Lock In PlayoffsCloud9 won
- LoL: Cloud9 vs FlyQuest - Game 1 WinnerCloud9 won
- LoL: Cloud9 vs FlyQuest - Game 2 WinnerCloud9 won
- LoL: Cloud9 vs FlyQuest - Game 3 WinnerCloud9 won
- Total Kills Over/Under 25.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 26.5 in Game 2?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 26.5 in Game 3?Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.