Lol · resolved market
LoL: CITA Kaizen vs Bohemian Guardians - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3961ba217256759a037a73a7110f41f727e57cf6752249c1d9930a10d9bc50e1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- CITA Kaizenof CITA Kaizen, Bohemian Guardians
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,186
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,130
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,186 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 13 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x10ef…7d7bbacked Bohemian Guardians | 1c | 1,673$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.99 | 665 | 59.5%396 W · 269 L | +72.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb35f…cf4cbacked Bohemian Guardians | 18c | 878.2$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.86 | 448 | 46.2%207 W · 241 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Bohemian Guardians | 14c | 417.35$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.76 | 1,826 | 39.9%728 W · 1,098 L | -61.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf1…d7febacked Bohemian Guardians | 14c | 109.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 117 | 35%41 W · 76 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9473…cba4backed Bohemian Guardians | 20c | 94.11$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.38 | 535 | 45.2%242 W · 293 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71f5…4ccebacked Bohemian Guardians | 16c | 70$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.35 | 136 | 39.7%54 W · 82 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70a0…2dc3backed Bohemian Guardians | 18c | 55.56$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 109 | 30.3%33 W · 76 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3546…1a58backed Bohemian Guardians | 18c | 55.56$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 161 | 30.4%49 W · 112 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked CITA Kaizen | 75c | 54.67$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.48 | 580 | 43.3%251 W · 329 L | -47.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -27%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5452…d12ebacked Bohemian Guardians | 25c | 40.81$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 102 | 65.7%67 W · 35 L | +11.3wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8c…2d81backed CITA Kaizen | 79c | 40$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 243 | 56.4%137 W · 106 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca5f…41f5backed CITA Kaizen | 42c | 34$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.78 | 211 | 55%116 W · 95 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb47…4737backed CITA Kaizen | 73c | 18.61$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.09 | 84 | 75%63 W · 21 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: CITA Kaizen vs Bohemian Guardians - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: CITA Kaizen vs Bohemian Guardians (BO3) - Hitpoint Masters Regular SeasonCITA Kaizen won
- LoL: CITA Kaizen vs Bohemian Guardians - Game 1 WinnerCITA Kaizen won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.