Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will FC Midtjylland win on 2025-11-30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x39b4458418ef84ffc3ea14c301fe1b92a7901a83ff901b037617237117cad1a4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $40,735
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $45,475
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,735 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 56c | 20,000$11,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,800 | 362 | 43.1%156 W · 206 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked No | 44c | 19,132$8,418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,417.93 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abb…452ebacked Yes | 65c | 3,548$2,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,247.7 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 69cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 29c | 3,229$946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$945.63 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 21c | 3,002$629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.02 | 834 | 40.8%340 W · 494 L | -35.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 25c | 2,710$685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$685.36 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8245…4f87backed Yes | 73c | 1,838$1,341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496.79 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 59c | 814.81$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.07 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 28c | 392$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.96 | 1,098 | 50.5%554 W · 544 L | -36.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed No | 43c | 231.15$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.45 | 37 | 16.2%6 W · 31 L | -6.5wins | -0.18per pick | 34cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed No | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 111 | 36.9%41 W · 70 L | -15.2wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0f66…2ad8backed Yes | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 15c | 168.19$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.46 | 293 | 57.3%168 W · 125 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked No | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 210 | 44.8%94 W · 116 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked No | 44c | 81.49$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.86 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 56c | 75$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 869 | 60.4%525 W · 344 L | +91.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…fd87backed No | 45c | 70.27$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.93 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +23%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e28…3e73backed No | 45c | 66.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 41c | 56.41$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.13 | 670 | 50.6%339 W · 331 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8594…7eedbacked Yes | 61c | 54.1$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.1 | 67 | 56.7%38 W · 29 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked No | 36c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 107 | 37.4%40 W · 67 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2382…4628backed No | 35c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3238…1521backed Yes | 56c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3636…1a57backed Yes | 58c | 49.98$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.99 | 19 | 89.5%17 W · 2 L | +3.6wins | +0.19per pick | 70cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe333…cf5fbacked Yes | 56c | 44.64$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.64 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40fc…498dbacked Yes | 56c | 41.07$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.07 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked No | 29c | 37.59$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 44c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed No | 38c | 26.61$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.11 | 169 | 53.8%91 W · 78 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 65c | 24.35$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.52 | 447 | 68%304 W · 143 L | +52.8wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2c48…0897backed Yes | 62c | 24.1$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +60.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed No | 45c | 22.72$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.22 | 109 | 58.7%64 W · 45 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 55c | 21.4$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.63 | 490 | 46.9%230 W · 260 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63b0…bef7backed Yes | 64c | 20.63$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.43 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Midtjylland win on 2025-11-30?this page
- Will FC Midtjylland vs. FC Nordsjælland end in a draw?No won
- Will FC Nordsjælland win on 2025-11-30?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.