Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Valparaiso vs. Evansville
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x39df848c36b046f8a85003cc0702e3e64bbdc88a5067d71fea75eb9f0edee953
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Evansvilleof Valparaiso, Evansville
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,787
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,784
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,787 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa259…7724backed Evansville | 55c | 4,547$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,047.27 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.24per pick | 49cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Valparaiso | 45c | 4,461$2,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,010.7 | 530 | 57.4%304 W · 226 L | +33.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e85…4d99backed Evansville | 58c | 1,505$873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$632.1 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3aec…0f2dbacked Valparaiso | 42c | 1,500$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Valparaiso | 50c | 690$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345 | 391 | 44.5%174 W · 217 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Evansville | 50c | 647.8$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.81 | 284 | 45.1%128 W · 156 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5834…f0cbbacked Valparaiso | 47c | 366.33$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | -7.3wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf79a…f051backed Valparaiso | 43c | 361$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.23 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6336…c1a2backed Evansville | 57c | 345$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.35 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +87.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6de7…5924backed Evansville | 57c | 319$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.17 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.5wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +78.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa3…d3ebbacked Valparaiso | 43c | 295$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.85 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x855a…678bbacked Evansville | 57c | 264$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.52 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Evansville | 53c | 209.99$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.07 | 283 | 35%99 W · 184 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b90…1a0abacked Valparaiso | 43c | 203$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.29 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d60…d6adbacked Valparaiso | 43c | 169$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.67 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 49cpaid | +56%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4bd2…0166backed Valparaiso | 43c | 138$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Valparaiso | 45c | 132.96$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.78 | 429 | 48.5%208 W · 221 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87bd…37febacked Valparaiso | 43c | 125$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19da…6c55backed Evansville | 57c | 119$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.17 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Valparaiso | 46c | 110.85$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.88 | 605 | 51.4%311 W · 294 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x428a…5509backed Evansville | 57c | 96$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.28 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6377…b468backed Evansville | 57c | 96$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.28 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Evansville | 53c | 87.97$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.35 | 348 | 42.8%149 W · 199 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc03…3fd9backed Valparaiso | 43c | 87$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.41 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9661…bc20backed Valparaiso | 43c | 82$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1311…6f9dbacked Valparaiso | 43c | 77$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.11 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa183…0d38backed Evansville | 57c | 77$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.11 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 43cpaid | +103.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2ee…3982backed Evansville | 57c | 70$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.1 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +91.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ca…8794backed Evansville | 57c | 64$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.52 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2366…1078backed Evansville | 55c | 63.64$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.64 | 247 | 59.5%147 W · 100 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc91…6906backed Evansville | 57c | 61$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.23 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1085…c2c7backed Evansville | 57c | 59$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.37 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +72.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafa9…e725backed Evansville | 57c | 58$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.94 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 52cpaid | +96.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9901…baacbacked Valparaiso | 43c | 56$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.08 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…9b95backed Evansville | 44c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | +6.0wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4a7…bc10backed Valparaiso | 43c | 44$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.92 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Evansville | 53c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.8 | 820 | 48.2%395 W · 425 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Evansville | 52c | 34.71$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.66 | 71 | 45.1%32 W · 39 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d79…a03bbacked Valparaiso | 47c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd4…8643backed Evansville | 59c | 28.81$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.81 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f51…efa8backed Valparaiso | 46c | 28$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c79…248cbacked Evansville | 57c | 24$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.32 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x843f…feb1backed Valparaiso | 47c | 23.72$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5228…268abacked Evansville | 54c | 22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.12 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b5b…566fbacked Evansville | 56c | 21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.24 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x442e…b930backed Evansville | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +131.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1800…1899backed Evansville | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.