South American Leagues · resolved market
Club Always Ready vs. LDU de Quito: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3a13368585c806c0d9b47bccb7ba60d0d4182604308f8ce14252d60504647941
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,316
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,701
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,316 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Over | 50c | 2,503$1,261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,261.02 | 218 | 39.4%86 W · 132 L | -9.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 50c | 2,034$1,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,021.89 | 5,762 | 45.4%2,614 W · 3,148 L | +94.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 52c | 1,169$611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558.18 | 8,112 | 48.7%3,951 W · 4,161 L | +27.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 49c | 600.66$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.86 | 191 | 35.1%67 W · 124 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb7b…fb71backed Under | 42c | 441.51$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.98 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 36c | 214.6$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.79 | 3,755 | 38.2%1,435 W · 2,320 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9e…4c57backed Over | 34c | 153.47$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.18 | 74 | 20.3%15 W · 59 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa334…beaebacked Over | 60c | 130.13$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.08 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -5.2wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 49c | 98.48$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.25 | 836 | 42.9%359 W · 477 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 56c | 97.94$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.62 | 1,296 | 43%557 W · 739 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6859…f7c2backed Over | 50c | 97$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.5 | 64 | 57.8%37 W · 27 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6121…c283backed Over | 65c | 74.76$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.96 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed Over | 47c | 59.98$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.19 | 489 | 22.9%112 W · 377 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 21c | 56.53$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.6 | 1,655 | 50.6%838 W · 817 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 21c | 50.22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.51 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1f…f5eabacked Over | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 47 | 31.9%15 W · 32 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5a4…0182backed Over | 79c | 49.99$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.5 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 73cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 51c | 48.04$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.54 | 406 | 51%207 W · 199 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f72…2fbfbacked Over | 77c | 38.42$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.59 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b7…93ebbacked Over | 67c | 37.62$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.21 | 76 | 60.5%46 W · 30 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x934f…c36ebacked Over | 78c | 19.06$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 73cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f6…eb0abacked Over | 78c | 16.45$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.83 | 14 | 85.7%12 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.14per pick | 72cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed91…83cfbacked Over | 79c | 15.64$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.6wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Club Always Ready vs. LDU de Quito: O/U 1.5this page
- Club Always Ready vs. LDU de Quito: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Club Always Ready vs. LDU de Quito: O/U 2.5Under won
- Club Always Ready vs. LDU de Quito: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: LDU de Quito (-2.5)Club Always Ready won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.