CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: BASEMENT BOYS vs CSDIILIT - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3a5cbe1cd1a976d611d1f4fab10412d65c3cdd1f2409622bde0b96e59b5bbdbe
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- BASEMENT BOYSof BASEMENT BOYS, CSDIILIT
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,098
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,584
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,098 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc53d…52b3backed BASEMENT BOYS | 64c | 1,423$907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.45 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked BASEMENT BOYS | 55c | 484.05$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.6 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed BASEMENT BOYS | 57c | 388.74$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.16 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4013…406bbacked BASEMENT BOYS | 65c | 300$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.05 | 150 | 63.3%95 W · 55 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked CSDIILIT | 39c | 261.71$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.61 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked CSDIILIT | 30c | 236.22$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.01 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e0…0d8abacked BASEMENT BOYS | 53c | 216.09$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.09 | 330 | 57.3%189 W · 141 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed CSDIILIT | 35c | 179.13$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.7 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked CSDIILIT | 67c | 152.46$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.95 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked CSDIILIT | 35c | 111.57$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.05 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd121…b0a5backed CSDIILIT | 40c | 75.53$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8744…3d64backed CSDIILIT | 65c | 70.79$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed BASEMENT BOYS | 64c | 64.51$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.33 | 66 | 48.5%32 W · 34 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5358…44e8backed CSDIILIT | 40c | 37.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 56 | 30.4%17 W · 39 L | -6.8wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…53c8backed CSDIILIT | 48c | 31.49$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.09 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked BASEMENT BOYS | 67c | 29.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.69 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce8…2f9ebacked BASEMENT BOYS | 69c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.65 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: BASEMENT BOYS vs CSDIILIT - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: BASEMENT BOYS vs CSDIILIT (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group StageBASEMENT BOYS won
- Counter-Strike: BASEMENT BOYS vs CSDIILIT - Map 1 WinnerBASEMENT BOYS won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.